Lazy Cat On A Mountain Top

Lazy Cat on a mountaintop by Dwayne A. Day Monday, April 29, 2024 Bookmark and Share In the last days of the rule of the Shah of Iran, the CIA installed a new dome atop a mountain next to a field of equipment used to gather information from inside the Soviet Union. But before the intelligence service could put it into operation in 1978, the Shah fell and the CIA hastily abandoned the site. Starting in the mid-1970s, the US intelligence community became more concerned about the threat of Soviet lasers to American satellites. The mountaintop facility was known as TACKSMAN. TACKSMAN was used by the CIA to monitor Soviet missile launches from their Baikonur missile and rocket launch facility in Kazakhstan, the same location where Sputnik and Yuri Gagarin launched into space. It was an important Cold War missile telemetry interception site. CIA officials sometimes had a knack for applying winking codenames to their projects, and this facility was a classic case, because “tacksman” is a Scottish term for somebody who paid rent to his landlord, usually a clan chief. The United States certainly paid the Shah of Iran for the use of land at his hunting palace, in return for the opportunity to hunt Soviet missiles and rockets. According to a declassified official history, TACKSMAN was primarily focused on gathering Soviet rocket signals using antennas, but it also apparently collected Soviet communications as well. But inside the dome was a telescope named Lazy Cat, also intended to look inside Soviet territory, at least when the skies were clear. Lazy Cat was designed to detect lasers directed at satellites in orbit, something that US intelligence analysts were increasingly concerned about during the 1970s. From EGGSHELL to TACKSMAN When it was first established in the late 1950s, the CIA’s site in Iran was code-named EGGSHELL. It was set up as a “clandestine” facility at the Shah’s hunting palace outside the city of Behshahr. It was unlike many other American signals gathering sites that were usually operated by the National Security Agency and located at American military bases on foreign soil. The first site was intended to collect communications intelligence and possibly telemetry from the Kapustin Yar missile and space launch site inside the Soviet Union. Although EGGSHELL was initially considered a “temporary” site, it soon expanded to a second location and began collecting telemetry from what the CIA referred to as the Tyuratam Missile Test Range but is today known as Baikonur. (See “Stealing secrets from the ether: missile and satellite telemetry interception during the Cold War,” The Space Review, January 17, 2022.) Initially CIA personnel were assigned to EGGSHELL on a temporary detailee basis, but as it expanded to become a permanent site, the CIA added family accommodations and amenities. It is unclear when the name was changed from EGGSHELL to TACKSMAN, but it may have been when the second location was developed. The site, eventually referred to as TACKSMAN II and established in 1964, was much closer to the Baikonur launch complex than other US intelligence collection stations, notably a site in Turkey. Some workers stayed at the mountaintop locations overnight, whereas others commuted there daily. Starting in the mid-1970s, the US intelligence community became more concerned about the threat of Soviet lasers to American satellites. It is unclear what initial intelligence data prompted this concern, although US intelligence agencies were aware of an active Soviet high-power laser program. According to an intelligence estimate made in early 1978, by that time the Soviet Union was believed to have a ground-based laser capability to jam sensors in geosynchronous orbit and “kill” sensors on spacecraft in low Earth orbit, up to 800 kilometers. The Soviet Union had a large anti-ballistic missile testing facility located in Kazakhstan at Sary Shagan, on the shore of Lake Balkhash. This had been a major focus of American intelligence gathering during the 1960s. The Soviet Omega laser was installed at Sary Shagan in the 1970s but was designed for shooting down aircraft. The United States first publicly referred to Soviet laser systems at Sary Shagan during the Reagan Administration and there were rumors that in 1984 it was used to illuminate an American space shuttle. But American concern about lasers at Sary Shagan started more than a decade earlier and had prompted the development of systems to detect and measure the lasers. Although being sent to Florida for the summer seemed to some of the engineers to be a plum duty assignment (one even took his boat), they soon learned otherwise. According to the late Phil Pressel, an engineer who worked for the Perkin-Elmer Corporation, the CIA contracted the company in the mid-1970s to produce a ground-based telescope capable of detecting and analyzing lasers fired from the ground at Sary Shagan. The telescope, with a 1.2-meter (48-inch) aperture, was equipped with a sophisticated sensor that could not only detect the laser, but also determine its characteristics. It was to look for signals in the visible and infrared wavelengths: 3.7 microns, 4.3 microns, 1.06 microns, and a visible channel. Perkin-Elmer collaborated with Itek on the design and construction of the telescope, with Itek fabricating the mirror. telescope The Lazy Cat telescope was built by Perkin-Elmer and installed on a mountaintop in Iran in the fall of 1977. It was designed to detect lasers from the Sary Shagan test range when they were pointed at satellites in low Earth orbit. It did not become operational before the Iranian revolution led to the facility being abandoned by the CIA in early 1978. (credit: author) From Danbury to Florida In the summer of 1977, workers at Perkin-Elmer in Danbury, Connecticut, where Lazy Cat was assembled, packed up the telescope and shipped it to Patrick Air Force Base in Florida via an Air Force C-5A Galaxy transport. Several Perkin-Elmer technicians and engineers then traveled to Florida to work on setting up and testing the telescope. Although being sent to Florida for the summer seemed to some of the engineers to be a plum duty assignment (one even took his boat), they soon learned otherwise. The company was not ready to pay them in a timely manner and left a lot of their living arrangements to the workers, forcing them to scramble when they would have preferred to simply focus on their work. They also were so busy that they didn’t have time to engage in much recreation. Lazy Cat required a lot of preparation. The goal was to test it successfully for the sponsor so that it could be shipped to Iran. Although Pressel never confirmed that the CIA was the customer, the connections were obvious because Perkin-Elmer had close ties to the agency from its work on the HEXAGON reconnaissance satellite, and because the TACKSMAN site was operated by the agency. The telescope was set up at the Malabar Test Facility, located on Patrick and surrounded by fences and patrolled by armed guards. Lazy Cat was installed in an existing telescope dome. At one point while the telescope was being moved a small airplane flew overhead in what was supposed to be controlled airspace. The group was alarmed but could not quickly identify the plane or determine why it was overhead. They never got an answer as to whether it was an inadvertent overflight or an attempt to spot what they were doing. During setup, a thunderstorm suddenly rolled in and in the rush to secure the telescope it was dropped a small distance, damaging an electronics box. But the box was quickly fixed and the telescope was unharmed. Setup was mostly uneventful, although the unstable local power grid proved to be a problem. During a nighttime test, the Lazy Cat telescope was pointed at an American HEXAGON reconnaissance satellite that was illuminated by a laser from the ground. Lazy Cat accurately detected the laser illumination and measured the laser’s characteristics, proving that it was ready for operation. From Florida to Iran Details of the telescope’s transportation from Florida to Iran in September 1977 are unknown, although it would have required a C-5 to get it there. The United States had close ties with the Shah’s government and the existing CIA facilities in the country undoubtedly had their own logistics chain. Upon arriving in Iran, Lazy Cat was trucked to the mountaintop TACKSMAN II site. Getting it up the mountain was difficult. At one point, a crane was used to swing the trailer carrying the telescope around a sharp bend in the road. The telescope was then installed in a dome that had been built on the site next to two other domes that housed dishes probably used to track Soviet rockets and missiles. Sary Shagan was more than 1,000 kilometers to the northeast. Several Perkin-Elmer personnel were sent to Iran to help with the installation and early operation of the telescope. They were warned by their local handlers about political instability in Iran, including a briefing about the murder of three American contractors in the country over a year earlier, and they stayed in safe houses before going to the operating location. They found the mountaintop facility to be well-equipped, with excellent food and accommodations for people working at a secret location. It is unknown what, if any, project may have followed Lazy Cat to try and obtain data on Soviet laser anti-satellite tests, although concern about them grew during the early 1980s. The Lazy Cat telescope was installed in a dome to protect it from the elements. The telescope and its systems checked out fine, working as well as they had in Florida. But there were two problems. An automated tracking system antenna dish was to provide azimuth and elevation positioning for the telescope, but it was not completed by December because of some structural issues and redesign requirements. In addition, the telescope mount also had problems moving, which burned out the controllers for the DC drive motor. Before the problems could be fixed, the key Perkin-Elmer worker sent to the site returned home, their two-month detail over. Very soon thereafter, in January 1978, the Iranian revolution took over the country. Americans at the TACKSMAN site quickly evacuated, although it is unclear if they destroyed any of the equipment that they left behind, like Lazy Cat. Phil Pressel heard a rumor that the telescope mirror was smashed with a hammer. The company’s substantial effort to build the telescope was for naught, and it never stared at the sky looking for Soviet laser beams. In January 1978, possibly after learning about the loss of Lazy Cat, President Jimmy Carter asked for an intelligence briefing on the status of Soviet anti-satellite laser capabilities. The Secretary of Defense provided a report in February indicating that the Soviets already had a ground-based laser ASAT capability, and were developing an air- and possibly space-based laser ASAT capability. A March 1980 National Intelligence Estimate provided further estimates on Soviet laser ASAT developments. The Reagan Administration would become more alarmed about Soviet laser programs, although the end of the Cold War revealed that some Soviet laser capabilities had been exaggerated. The closure of the TACKSMAN sites prompted a major review within the US intelligence community on how the loss of the information they gathered would affect the United States’ ability to monitor the SALT arms control treaty. U-2R and WB-57F aircraft operations were considered as an alternative means to obtain the intelligence. It is unknown what, if any, project may have followed Lazy Cat to try and obtain data on Soviet laser anti-satellite tests, although concern about them grew during the early 1980s. In 1989, a delegation of American officials visited the Terra 3 laser site at Sary Shagan—the one alleged to have illuminated the space shuttle—and found that it was a relatively low power system, nothing like the earlier intelligence reports. Ironically, the United States had a more advanced laser program. telescope sites The dome on the right was built atop a mountain in Iran to house the Lazy Cat telescope. The CIA operated an array of sensors on the mountain to gather intelligence from inside the Soviet Union. (credit: Google) Today the two CIA TACKSMAN sites can be viewed with public software such as Google Earth: TACKSMAN I located at 36.6841 N, 53.5278 E, and TACKSMAN II, at 37.2963 N, 58.9131 E. Since the 1979 revolution, the Iranians have been using both locations for unknown purposes. The Iranians have never displayed the captured American facility or equipment, not even for propaganda purposes. Author’s note: A declassified official history, The Foreign Missile and Space TELEMETRY Collection Story – The First 50 Years, written by Richard L. Bernard in 2004, included the first publicly released information on TACKSMAN. The declassified history on the National Archives website is in two parts. Part 1 covers the 1950s and 1960s, and Part 2 covers the 1970s, 1980s, and the 1990s. The TELINT history can be downloaded from the National Archives website here, here, here, here, and here. Dwayne Day is interested in hearing from anybody with further information on Lazy Cat or TACKSMAN. He can be reached at zirconic1@cox.net.

NASA Looks For M.S.R. Lifeline

Perseverance and sample tube A selfie taken by the Perseverance rover showing one of its sample tubes on the ground. NASA is still working to figure out how to get those samples back to Earth effectively. (credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS) NASA looks for an MSR lifeline by Jeff Foust Monday, April 29, 2024 Bookmark and Share For more than half a year, dark clouds have hovered over NASA’s Mars Sample Return (MSR) program. Last September, an independent panel concluded that the current approach to returning samples being collected by the Perseverance rover was behind schedule and far over budget, with cost estimates as high as $11 billion. That prompted an internal NASA reassessment of the MSR program that, coupled with uncertainty about spending levels for the program in 2024, led to slowing work on much of MSR and, in February, laying off 8% of the staff at JPL, the lead center for MSR (see “MSR at serious risk”, The Space Review, February 12, 2024). “The bottom line is that $11 billion is too expensive and not returning samples until 2040 is unacceptably too long,” Nelson said. That uncertainty persisted last month even with the long-overdue completion of a fiscal year 2024 spending bill and, days later, the release of the administration’s fiscal year 2025 budget proposal. The 2024 spending bill directed NASA to spend at least $300 million—the amount in the earlier Senate version—on MSR in 2024, and up to $949.3 million, the agency’s request. However, the bill cut planetary science spending by more than $660 million, giving the agency little room to spend more than the minimum on MSR without cutting other programs. The 2025 request, meanwhile, punted on MSR: it listed only “TBD” for the program in the proposal, with NASA stating it would amend the budget request once its review of the program was over. “That’s astonishing. I’ve never seen anything like that before,” said Casey Dreier, chief of space policy at The Planetary Society, in a webinar on the budget proposal by the Aerospace Industries Association a couple weeks after the proposal was released. The Mars science community hoped for some clarity when the agency announced it would discuss its plan forward for Mars Sample Return April 15. That announcement, though, did little to disperse the clouds hanging over the program for months. That review, by the MSR Independent Review Board Response Team, or MIRT, examined more than 20 architectures but ended up recommending an approach much like the previous design that included a Sample Retrieval Lander, developed by NASA, and an Earth Return Orbiter, built by ESA. The main technical difference was the inclusion of a radioisotope thermoelectric generator (RTG) on the lander, which previously was solar powered, to make lander operations more robust. (Including the RTG, the report noted, made little change to its price but it meant there would be no room for helicopters based on Ingenuity; those were intended to fetch samples from a cache on the surface as a backup to getting them directly from Perseverance.) The MIRT study agreed with the assessment by the earlier independent review that the cost of this approach was between $8 billion and $11 billion. To minimize peak annual costs—the 2022 decadal survey had recommended that MSR cost no more than 35% of the overall NASA planetary science budget in any given year—NASA stretched out the program, launching the orbiter in 2030 and the lander in 2035, which would allow samples to be returned in 2040. NASA, though, is looking for alternatives. “The bottom line is that $11 billion is too expensive and not returning samples until 2040 is unacceptably too long,” NASA administrator Bill Nelson said in a call with reporters to discuss the MIRT report. He announced that NASA would seek proposals for mission studies that could carry our MSR faster and/or cheaper than the plan the MIRT developed. The day after the announcement, NASA issued a call for proposals for “Rapid Mission Design Studies for Mars Sample Return”. NASA would seek proposals, due to NASA by May 17, for 90-day studies to be conducted by industry from July to October. NASA said it the announcement it would make “multiple” awards of up to $1.5 million each for the studies. Nicola Fox, NASA associate administrator for science, said at the briefing that NASA was looking for new approaches, but not necessarily new technologies, for MSR through the new studies. “What we’re looking for is heritage,” she said. “What we’re hoping is that we’ll be able to get back to some more traditional, tried-and-true architectures, things that do not require huge technological leaps.” The role of the MIRT “was not to go out and find this creative, new approach to MSR. It was to respond to those specific recommendations,” Connelly said. A particular area of interest is the Mars Ascent Vehicle (MAV), the rocket carried on the Sample Retrieval Lander that would launch into Mars orbit the canister that, as currently designed, would carry 30 tubes of samples. “As the Mars Ascent Vehicle (MAV) design and mass drives mission complexity and cost, NASA is particularly interested in studies that include or describe a smaller MAV or an alternative to a MAV,” the solicitation states. That could include, the request stated, returning a smaller number of samples. While NASA’s current approach calls for returning 30 tubes, the agency is willing to consider concepts that could return as few as ten. It added, though, that returning “as many scientifically valuable samples as possible returned is desired” will be one metric NASA will use to judge mission designs, alongside cost and schedule. MAV NASA says it is particularly interested in alternatives to the Mars Ascent Vehicle rocket, a key driver in the size and cost of the overall MSR architecture. (credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech) “We want real solutions” The announcement and subsequent solicitation left as many questions as answers about the future of MSR. Many of those came up during a meeting April 24 of the Mars Exploration Program Analysis Group (MEPAG), a group of scientists that provide input to NASA on its Mars exploration efforts. One issue was why, after nearly half a year of work, the MIRT adopted an architecture for MSR that was little different from the earlier plan. “Our role was to respond to all of the recommendations of IRB-2,” said Sandra Connelly, deputy associate administrator for science and leader of the MIRT, referring to last year’s independent review, which was the second for the program. “Our role was not to go out and find this creative, new approach to MSR. It was to respond to those specific recommendations.” That was done outside of any consideration of any budgetary limitations on the effort, including whether up to $11 billion would be acceptable. “This is what the MIRT recommended in terms of an architecture that fit within the recommendations of the IRB,” she said. “Because of the constraints that we are in, the environment we’re in, we’re not moving forward with this architecture right now.” The hope is that the industry studies, as well as separate internal studies at NASA and JPL, will come up with less expensive and faster approaches for MSR. But the agency has not publicly set a goal for cost and schedule for MSR. “We don’t want to put cost bogeys out there because we know that, if you put a cost bogey out there, there will be solutions that come in that fit within that cost bogey,” Connelly said. “We want real analysis, we want real solutions and we want to know what they’re really going to cost so we can make informed trades.” “There has been industry interest that’s been commented on and shared, and we’re hopeful it will be viable,” she said, without commenting on whether NASA had enough evidence to suggest that industry concepts could sharply reduce costs and pull in schedules. There has been speculation, for example, that SpaceX has offered approaches using its Starship vehicle, but with few, if any, details (including how Starship would pull off the round trip to Mars.) Scientists also questioned NASA’s willingness to accept as few as ten sample tubes. That is linked to a cache of ten tubes that Perseverance left behind in a region called Three Forks as a contingency in case something prevented Perseverance from returning to the sample retrieval lander. At MEPAG, though, scientists argued that those samples aren’t the best ones to be returned, with better ones on Perseverance as it continues to climb out of Jezero Crater. “When it comes to the decision about exactly which samples will be loaded onto whatever spacecraft leaves the surface of Mars, that will be something where there will be scientific community conversations,” Lindsay Hays, acting lead scientist for MSR at NASA headquarters, reassured the audience. Connelly, though, said returning only the samples at Three Forks was an option. “If that’s the easier solution, we don’t want to prohibit that,” she said. “Having science that is good enough is better than having no science.” “I worry that, when we make certain decisions, that we’re cutting to the bone and, in this case, potentially amputating JPL,” Garcia said. So, what if the studies don’t reveal any alternatives with significant cost and schedule reductions? “There is a possibility that we won’t come up with something,” Connelly said, “in which case, we’ll have to evaluate at that point in time how we’re going to move forward as an agency.” She reiterated at the MEPAG meeting, though, that Nelson “strongly believes that 2040 and $11 billion is not acceptable.” MAV NASA administrator Bill Nelson told House appropriators he was “quite sanguine” about the future of MSR despite current problems. (credit: NASA/Joel Kowsky) Is MSR worth it? For now, MSR will not be spending much. NASA said at the announcement of the MIRT study that it would allocate $310 million for the program in the current fiscal year, just above the minimum allowed in the bill. NASA officials said at the MEPAG meeting that the $10 million increase above that floor was intended to go towards the industry studies. The announcement also did away with the “TBD” in the 2025 budget proposal. NASA would now seek $200 million for MSR in 2025, using funding that had originally been allocated for “Planetary Decadal Future” studies of future missions recommended by the planetary science decadal survey. Some in Congress, particularly in California, are not happy with those plans. “These funding levels are woefully short for a mission that NASA itself identified as its highest priority in planetary science and that has been decades in the making,” said the state’s two senators, Alex Padilla (D) and Laphonza Butler (D), in a statement the day of the announcement. Two days after the announcement, Nelson appeared before a House appropriations subcommittee to discuss the agency’s 2025 budget proposal. Among the participants was Rep. Mike Garcia (R-CA), who had similar concerns about the effects of the proposed MSR budget on JPL, concerns that transcend party lines. “It’s probably one of the only times I’ve agreed with [Rep. Adam] Schiff and been on a letter with Representative Schiff,” he said, referring to a prominent House Democrat whose district is adjacent to JPL. Garcia was critical of the funding decisions that led to JPL’s layoffs in February and feared the budget could lead to more. “I worry that, when we make certain decisions, that we’re cutting to the bone and, in this case, potentially amputating JPL.” Nelson reiterated that MSR was “extremely important” for the agency. “I am quite sanguine about the future,” he said, citing the upcoming studies by industry as well as within NASA and JPL, along with expectations that budget caps for NASA and other non-defense discretionary agencies will be lifted after 2025. “Let’s see what we come back with in the answers this fall.” “The whole value of our US-European partnership for Mars Sample Return is to bring back a scientifically selected, diverse set of samples,” Glaze said, contrasting MSR with China’s plans. “That’s significantly different from a ‘grab-and-go’ sample.” There are other factors that come into play. NASA officials said they expect to make decisions about the future of MSR in early 2025 after evaluating the various studies. That could come, though, in the midst of a presidential transition, which may at a minimum delay those plans or prompt another review of them. The current baseline of 2040 would also mean that the samples would likely come back years after China conducts its own Mars sample return mission, expected in the early 2030s. “That is why the administrator is wanting us to find a solution that returns the samples before 2004,” Connolly said at the MEPAG meeting. She and Lori Glaze, director of NASA’s planetary science division, argued MSR would be more scientifically valuable than Chinese plans, which appear to be focused on grabbing whatever material is available at the landing site rather than more carefully curated samples being collected by Perseverance. “The whole value of our US-European partnership for Mars Sample Return is to bring back a scientifically selected, diverse set of samples,” Glaze said, that can address key scientific questions. “That’s significantly different from a ‘grab-and-go’ sample.” She added NASA briefly considered that approach as an alternative to the current MSR architecture, and “that was not acceptable.” Agency leadership, all the way up to Nelson, emphasized that scientific importance of MSR, pointing to recommendations in the last two decadal surveys backing the effort. “I’m very optimistic, as I talk to our scientists, that it can be done,” Nelson told House appropriators. Some scientists at the MEPAG meeting, though, started to question the value of MSR, particularly if the program is limited to returning a small number of samples, like the Three Forks cache, that may not be as scientifically valuable as once expected. They argued, for example, that the Three Forks cache is no longer the best set of samples that could be returned based on what Perseverance has collected despite earlier declarations that it was “return worthy.” That extended to MSR itself: at what point, one participant said, should the scientific community reconsider its support for the mission despite the endorsements in the decadal surveys given the potential changes to the mission. “I think that’s a legitimate question, a legitimate conversation to have. I think it's premature to have it now,” said Vicky Hamilton, chair of MEPAG. “We don’t know what these industry studies will come up with. We don’t know what NASA’s response to those studies will be.” She added, though, that the decadal survey recommended MSR continue with no major increase or decrease in scope. Should NASA recommend sharply reducing the scope of the mission, like the number of samples returned, “we have an opening there to say that the scope has been decreased so much that the community no longer believes this is what we should be doing.” That time was not now, she concluded. “This is the top decadal priority. We have supported that and should continue to do so emphatically until it is 110% clear that we cannot do that in good conscience. And we cannot make that decision until we know what NASA’s proposed path forward is.” Jeff Foust (jeff@thespacereview.com) is the editor and publisher of The Space Review, and a senior staff writer with SpaceNews. He also operates the Spacetoday.net web site. Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author alone.

China's Interest In The Far Side Of The Moon-Scientific, Military or Economic?

Chang'e-6' An illustration of Chang’e-6 on the surface of the lunar farside. (credit: CNSA) China’s interest in the far side of the Moon: scientific, military, or economic? by Carlos Alatorre Monday, April 29, 2024 Bookmark and Share On January 3, 2019, China achieved the first successful landing on the far side of the Moon with the Chang’e-4 probe. Twelve hours after touching down in the Von Karman Crater near the Moon’s south pole, the accompanying Yutu-2 rover began an exploration of the crater, a region that neither the United States nor the Soviet Union had explored before. This achievement was announced, gaining much fanfare within China as the first nation to deliver a probe to the far side. As announced in a China National Space Administration (CNSA) press release, the Chang’e-4 mission offered three main benefits: scientific discovery through crater exploration, international cooperation through cooperative missions, and a platform for future missions beyond cislunar space. But what is China’s true interest in the far side of the Moon? With the CNSA overseen indirectly by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), is an operation of this nature merely a demonstration of military capability or a global announcement of great power status? China’s focus on the far side of the Moon may have elements of diplomatic and military positioning, but evidence suggests its aims are more focused on strategic resource extraction, and the Chang’e missions are the starting gun in a lunar energy race. China’s focus on the far side of the Moon may have elements of diplomatic and military positioning, but evidence suggests its aims are more focused on strategic resource extraction. After the success of the Chang’e 4 mission, China launched the Chang’e-5 on November 23, 2020, as part of a sample return mission based on the data received by the Yutu-2 rover. Chang’e-5 returned to Earth, landing in Inner Mongolia on December 16 with two kilograms of lunar material. Upon return, the CNSA and the China Atomic Energy Authority (CAEA) jointly announced the discovery of a new mineral, Changesite-(Y). The mineral is a single-crystalline particle that was extracted from the lunar soil thanks to drilling from the Chang’e-5. Li Ziying, chief scientist of lunar sample research at the Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology, claims that the mineral will “help scientists understand the physical traits and history of the Moon.” However, Changesite-(Y) is also attractive for its energy usage. Traces of helium-3, a potential fuel source for nuclear fusion power plants and in limited supply on Earth, were identified in the lunar mineral leading to the CAEA’s interest. According to the University of Wisconsin’s Fusion Technology Institute, the potential energy output from 40 grams of helium-3 is equivalent to 5,000 tons of coal. There are estimates by Seattle-based company Interlune, a helium-3 harvesting startup, that more than one million tons of helium-3 is the Moon just under the surface. Despite the recent attention that lunar resource exploration has been receiving, Ouyang Ziyuan, director of the CNSA’s Moon exploration program, stated as far back as 2002 that the Moon “could serve as a new and tremendous supplier of energy and resources for human beings…this is crucial to sustainable development of human beings on Earth…whoever first conquers the Moon will benefit first.” Although China may have been a latecomer to the Apollo-style missions of the 20th century, it has attempted to gain a head start in the lunar energy race with the advent of the Chang’e missions. From a diplomatic and strategic standpoint, it would benefit China to own the narrative that it alone can lead the scientific discovery of new forms of clean energy using sophisticated lunar operations like the Chang’e lander missions or the placement of the Queqiao relay satellite in Lagrange point 2, an admittedly impressive feat used for rover communication that had never been done before. From a diplomatic and strategic standpoint, it would benefit China to own the narrative that it alone can lead the scientific discovery of new forms of clean energy using sophisticated lunar operations like the Chang’e lander missions. China isn’t alone in this search for resources. The US, Russia, India, Japan, South Korea, and various private firms are all interested in and planning lunar missions for potential resource extraction. According to Namrata Goswami, “China is the only country to articulate a long-term vision of space settlement and utilization. It is the only country to have invested serious money in future space technologies like space-based solar power that will help power such a lunar base.” The lunar base referred to is the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS), which will be jointly constructed and operated by China and Russia and placed near the unexplored south pole. The ILRS is being touted as a rival to the US-led Artemis program, which is a new series of manned lunar missions after a 50-year hiatus. Helium-3 isn’t the only potential power source on the Moon that could fuel a lunar energy race. Frozen water hiding in the craters of the south pole and rare earth elements like scandium and yttrium, used in electronics, could be a gold mine for the nation or company that finds those resources first. Critical minerals and rare earth elements have become necessary for military components and battery construction for the clean-energy transition. After cornering the market in rare earth elements from the purchase of lithium, cobalt, and nickel mines, China has a vested interest in prospecting lunar sites and laying claim to resources discovered. It is unclear how lunar mining rights and territorial claims will work when the UN’s Outer Space Treaty of 1967 forbids any nation from claiming sovereignty of a celestial body. However, without an agreed-upon enforcement mechanism, and China’s recent history of claiming territoriality through first navigation in the South China Sea, the international community may one day see an all-out 49er-style gold rush to the Moon. Carlos Alatorre is an MA graduate in Statecraft and National Security Affairs from The Institute of World Politics. His research focuses on China’s operational capabilities in orbit and strategic deterrence in cislunar space.

Book Review: "Who Owns The Moon?"

book cover Review: Who Owns the Moon? by Jeff Foust Monday, April 29, 2024 Bookmark and Share Who Owns the Moon?: In Defence of Humanity’s Common Interests in Space by A. C. Grayling Oneworld Publications, 2024 hardcover, 224 pp. ISBN 978-0-86154-725-8 US$26.95 The current unfortunate state of space diplomacy was on display last week during a session of the United Nations Security Council. Japan and the United States, with more than 60 nations as co-sponsors, put forward a resolution they billed as the first devoted to space security to be considered by the council. It reaffirmed provisions in the Outer Space Treaty not to place nuclear weapons or other weapons of mass destruction in space and called on nations not to develop such weapons. It was squarely aimed at Russia after reports in February that US intelligence had found evidence the country was working on a nuclear ASAT device. The Outer Space Treaty of 1967 has frequently been described as the foundation of international space law, but some wonder if that foundation needs to be shored up or replaced. Russia and China countered with an amendment that would expand the scope to all weapons, similar to treaties they have proposed for decades that the United States and many other Western nations have opposed on grounds that it is unverifiable and excludes terrestrial ASATs. That amendment failed, and in the final vote on the resolution, 13 nations voted yes and China abstained. Russia, though, voted no, exercising its veto to kill the resolution. “Regrettably, one permanent member decided to silence the critical message we wanted to send to the present and future people of the world: outer space must remain a domain of peace, free of weapons of mass destruction, including nuclear weapons,” Kazuyuki Yamazaki, Japan’s ambassador to the UN, said after the vote. The Outer Space Treaty of 1967 has frequently been described as the foundation of international space law, but in recent years, given the growth in the number of types of space actors, some have wondered if that foundation needs to be shored up or replaced. One of the latest treatises on the topic is Who Owns the Moon? by A. C. Grayling, a professor of philosophy at Northeastern University – London, where he argues that the treaty is outdated but fails to offer a solution. Grayling is concerned about the twin forces of commercialization and militarization as space activity grows. The former could lead, he fears, to a “gold rush” for resources on the Moon or elsewhere in what he argues is a largely unregulated “Wild West” environment. (That may be a surprise for companies who complain today about the level of paperwork and bureaucracy they have to deal with just to launch satellites.) That land grab for resources brings with it the threat of conflict enhanced by growing militarization of space, he states. He likens that in one chapter to the “Scramble for Africa” by European colonial powers in the late 19th century, where they swiftly divided up the content and its resources. The Outer Space Treaty is too vague to be useful today, he concludes, thus “revisiting the Outer Space Treaty well in advance of problems arising from its terminology is desirable. That means now.” (Emphasis in original.) He compares it to two other treaties dealing with global commons, the Antarctic Treaty and the High Seas Treaty that emerged from the decades-long Law of the Sea efforts. Grayling is particularly enamored with the Antarctic Treaty, seeing it as an example of an “enduring and successful” international agreement that protected the continent. It has kept the continent free of conflict and environmental damage, he argues, and none of its signatories have sought to use a provision available since 1991 to reopen the treaty for modification. “We don’t live in treaty times any more,” Aarti Holla-Maini, director of the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs, said. “It is not realistic and it is also not what we need.” It's not clear, though, that the Antarctic Treaty offers much in the ways of lessons for space. It has never been seriously tested because Antarctica never carried major strategic value to the Cold War superpowers and because of the lack of economically viable natural resources. How well would the treaty work if someone found tomorrow a vast, accessible deposit of petroleum or rare earth elements? China, he acknowledges, is already pushing the bounds of the treaty by seeking control of 20,000 square kilometers of territory around its Kunlun base there. He states early in this slender book—the main text is only a little more than 100 pages, excluding appendices—that given those issues “the case for revising the Outer Space Treaty sooner rather than later makes itself.” He clearly believes that to be true, because he makes little effort to make that case, in particular how the treaty should be revised: what sections and in what manner. His arguments become as vague as he claims the language of the treaty is. Notably, he says little about ongoing effort to build upon the Outer Space Treaty through non-binding approaches, like the development of norms and other documents, which lack the legal standing of a treaty but can be developed among like-minded nations far more quickly. An example is the Artemis Accords, now signed by nearly 40 nations, that its advocates say is intended to “operationalize” the Outer Space Treaty by adding detail to key provisions while also addressing additional topics, like use of space resources. Grayling mentions the Artemis Accords in passing but seems oddly incurious about them, spending no time evaluating the document’s contents or effectiveness. Revising or replacing the Outer Space Treaty seems like a bridge too far in the current climate. “We don’t live in treaty times any more,” Aarti Holla-Maini, director of the UN Office for Outer Space Affairs, said during a session of the 39th Space Symposium earlier this month. “It is not realistic and it is also not what we need.” A better book, then, might be to find ways to improve the current international space law through norms and similar agreements rather than dreaming of a new treaty. Jeff Foust (jeff@thespacereview.com) is the editor and publisher of The Space Review, and a senior staff writer with SpaceNews. He also operates the Spacetoday.net web site. Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author alone.

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The Triumph Of Ingenuity

Ingenuity The Ingenuity Mars helicopter performed 72 flights over nearly three years. (credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU) The ongoing triumph of Ingenuity by William Pomerantz Monday, April 22, 2024 Bookmark and Share This is my love letter to Ingenuity. I remember when I first heard about the concept of a small helicopter designed to catch a ride with a rover bound for the Martian surface. At the time, my wife worked as part of the “Mars Mafia” at NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory: a wonderful job that meant she got to bring intriguing ideas and fascinating discoveries home from work regularly. My first reaction to the idea of a Martian drone was a quick sequence: No way! Could that even work? There's barely any atmosphere there. But could you imagine if it did work? No one has ever seen anything like that before. That would be incredible! As the landing date for Perseverance and Ingenuity approached, I asked my JPL friends for their guesses as to how many times the helicopter would fly. By far the most common answer was that it would never make it off the ground in one piece. As I learned more about the idea, I marveled at the balance between the simplicity of the overall concept and the complexity of some of the engineering specifics required to make a helicopter fly on a planet where the atmospheric pressure at the surface is only 1% of what it is here on Earth (where it's already extremely challenging to make helicopters fly!). While many people, myself included, were wondering what was possible, small teams at JPL and AeroVironment were creating what was possible. A quick, hardware-rich sprint by a team of incredible engineers, technicians, and project managers allowed the Ingenuity Mars helicopter project to be completed on schedule—words we too rarely get to say in the world of space exploration. As the landing date for Perseverance and Ingenuity approached, I asked my JPL friends for their guesses as to how many times the helicopter would fly. By far the most common answer was that it would never make it off the ground in one piece. Another subset of people thought Ingenuity might fly once or twice. After the nerve-wracking deployment of the helicopter from under the belly of Perseverance, followed by a few weeks of wiggling rotors and commissioning the vehicle, the world was treated to what you see in this GIF: the first aircraft to perform powered, controlled flight on a planet other than Earth. Ingenuity (credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech) This was a “Wright Brothers moment,” happening in our lifetimes, on another world. The impossible becoming possible. A new mode of peaceful exploration, coming online right before our eyes, in glorious full-color video. Over the next three Earth years, Ingenuity would go on to surpass every expectation. From an initial target of five flights and 30 Martian days (sols), Ingenuity achieved 72 flights and about 1,000 sols. Ingenuity flew higher, faster, and further over more hazardous terrain than ever imagined. It returned first-of-its-kind images of the Perseverance rover, its backshell, and more. It gave us up-close images of Martian vistas that we're currently unable to explore by rover or with orbiters. The little helicopter that could survived a Martian winter with barely any damage. Every day, every flight, every image brought us precious new knowledge and expanded the horizons of humanity’s understanding of our closest planetary neighbor. Along the way, some of the rover-centric teammates who had first seen Ingenuity as a distraction came to view the helicopter as an incredible new tool. The operations team is constantly faced with deciding between sending the rover to explore the most interesting territory and avoiding those same areas if the landscape might damage and strand the rover. It’s a tension that the JPL team is extraordinarily good at managing, but a tension nonetheless. If the choice ever became stand down or keep pushing, the team wanted to keep pushing. About 60 flights into Ingenuity’s planned five-flight mission, I had the great honor of joining AeroVironment to run the team responsible for our contributions to Ingenuity and the next generation of Mars helicopters. Ingenuity was still in excellent condition and was responding to every new challenge we gave it, making aerial exploration of Mars seem almost easy. But still, as we started what was effectively our 12th victory lap after a race well run, we knew that every day Ingenuity phoned home was a gift. As I got to know the team at AeroVironment and as I became reacquainted with the JPLers on the mission, one of the questions I asked was how people would like to see the mission end. We all wanted to see Ingenuity complete as many flights as possible; but I wanted to hear what the people who quite literally built Ingenuity thought. Should Ingenuity earn a quiet retirement in some picturesque location? Or should we push the edges of the envelope until at last we ask Ingenuity to do something it can’t manage, and see it fail in flight? I received a range of strongly held responses to my question, but the overwhelming majority of the Ingenuity team was aligned. They reinforced that this mission was designed as a technology demonstration, and the best way to honor the spirit of Ingenuity was to ensure that the vehicle kept teaching us new things about flight on Mars, right up to the end. If the choice ever became stand down or keep pushing, the team wanted to keep pushing. And that’s exactly what happened. After more than 70 flights, we encountered a technical challenge that was simply beyond Ingenuity’s capabilities. The helicopter’s visual navigation system couldn’t distinguish the features of a very monotonous landscape well enough to consistently track them. Lacking that information, the vehicle essentially became confused about where it was and where it was going. As it descended, it may have begun to chase its own shadow. At some point during the flight and landing, Ingenuity sustained significant damage to its rotor blades and yet, somewhat miraculously, it survived that landing and came to rest upright on the Martian surface. Ingenuity is still alive and sending home data from its onboard systems—something it may continue to do for years to come. Perhaps if the Perseverance rover drives back by Valinor Hills Station (Ingenuity’s final airfield, named for Tolkien’s Undying Lands), Ingenuity will be able to phone home again and relay years’ worth of weather data to scientists on Earth. But unfortunately, it will never fly again. Seventy-two flights. More than two hours of flying time. Over 1,000 sols after arriving on Mars. Eleven miles (17.7 kilometers) covered. All this from a helicopter that weathered rocket launch loads, Martian dust storms, and more without a single opportunity for in-person inspection or servicing—something you’d never expect of a helicopter here on Earth. Ingenuity gave us everything we asked for and more. True to its spirit and its mission, even Ingenuity’s final flights have made us smarter. There’s more yet to learn, but from what I’ve seen, I believe the challenge that grounded Ingenuity will be relatively easy to overcome with future Mars helicopters, thanks to what we’ve now learned. Yes, Ingenuity reached a limit; but that limit can and will be conquered. Flight 72 marked an end, but not the end. The true conclusion of the Ingenuity mission will come when its hard-earned lessons are next put into practice by another Mars helicopter, one that will be even more ingenuous than its predecessor, thanks to how much wiser we are after 72 flights. AeroVironment has continued to invest funds and time into dreaming up new capabilities for future Mars helicopters. Engineers at AeroVironment, JPL, and NASA Ames are now thinking about helicopters and other aerial vehicles that could someday carry scientific instruments, fetch sample tubes, or explore difficult to access locations such as valleys and lava tubes. Additionally, elsewhere in the world, others are following Ingenuity’s lead. In 2021, China announced its plans to fly a helicopter on Mars, and more recently, India has revealed more about its plan to fly a Martian helicopter with a variety of weather and atmospheric sensors within the next eight years. With a growing community of international space agencies interested in the exploration of the Red Planet, helicopters may become an affordable and attractive option for space discovery and diplomacy. I believe the impactful legacy of Ingenuity will do for aerial mobility on Mars what Sojourner did for ground mobility. When the Ingenuity mission began, NASA’s leaders often compared it to the Wright Brothers 1903 Flyer—and indeed, Ingenuity carried a small piece of fabric from that historic aircraft to Mars. Now that the Martian equivalent of the Kitty Hawk flight has occurred, the successors to Orville and Wilbur at NASA JPL and AeroVironment are itching to embark on the next great endeavor that will forever change the future of planetary exploration. Planetary exploration helicopters have made their impact and are here to stay, and those in government, academia, and industry who embrace and support the inclusion of these systems in future missions will surely reap the benefits. Another novel forebearer of Ingenuity is Sojourner, the first successful Mars rover. Like Ingenuity, Sojourner was the lighter, smaller vehicle that hitched a ride with another mission to the Red Planet. Both programs had small budgets but delivered huge results. I believe the impactful legacy of Ingenuity will do for aerial mobility on Mars what Sojourner did for ground mobility: leave such an impactful legacy that at every future Martian launch window, and with every future call for proposals, this new form of exploration demonstrated by Ingenuity is considered a critical enabling technology for future discovery. As Ingenuity’s flying campaign comes to an end, and as the era of aerial Mars exploration begins in earnest, my hat is off to the people who made this possible, including brilliant NASA and JPL colleagues like Bob Balaram, Charles Elachi, Mimi Aung, Robert Hogg, Bobby Braun, Theodore (Teddy) Tzanetos, Håvard Grip, and more, and AeroVironment colleagues Matt Keennon, Benjamin Pipenberg, Sara Langberg, Jeremy Tyler, Joey Beckman, and more. Humanity’s best machines reflect the care, cleverness, and curiosity of their makers—and with Ingenuity, each of you has proven to be truly world-class. Ingenuity A mosaic shows the final resting place of Ingenuity (right) as well as one of rotor blades. [larger version] (credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech/LANL/CNES/CNRS) Will Pomerantz is an aerospace executive with two decades of experience in the entrepreneurial and non-profit sectors. He currently serves as the Head of Space Ventures at AeroVironment. He is also the co-founder of the Brooke Owens Fellowship and the Patti Grace Smith Fellowship, two award-winning mentorship and work experience programs focused on enabling more undergraduates to pursue successful aerospace careers.

Tintin The First Man In Space

Tintin, the first man in space and on the Moon by Anusuya Datta Monday, April 22, 2024 Bookmark and Share April 12 is a historic day for the space industry. On this day back in 1961, Russian cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin became the first human in space. Not to be left behind, the United States sent its first man into space in less than a month—Alan Shepard on May 5—thus sparking the famous space race between the two Cold War superpowers. December 1968 saw the launch of Apollo 8, the first manned space mission to orbit the Moon, and about seven months later Americans Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin made the historic Moon landing on July 20, 1969. But everyone knows all this, and that’s not the story. What many don’t know is that super hack Tintin was way ahead of both the superpowers in flying to space as well as landing on Moon. Yes, we are talking about the Belgian boy with a tuft of ginger hair. But how did Hergé anticipate the lunar adventure with such precision, especially coming so many years ahead of an actual man in space, let alone a Moon landing? For the uninitiated, Belgian cartoonist Georges Remi, popularly known as Hergé, created the iconic character Tintin, whose adventures have captivated readers all over the world for the past 80 years. The series stands as one of the most beloved European comics of the 20th century, translated into more than 50 languages and selling over 200 million copies worldwide, and even inspiring a film adaptation by Steven Spielberg and Peter Jackson. Hergé’s Explorers on the Moon was published in Le Journal Tintin in 1950. This first part was retitled as Destination Moon and published in 1953, followed by Explorers on the Moon in 1954. So technically, Tintin made the Moon landing in 1950, 19 years before Armstrong. Who would have imagined reading the book in 1950—when Tintin exclaims after taking a few steps on lunar surface, “I have taken a few steps. For the first time certainly in the history of mankind, there is an explorer on the Moon!”—that another man would utter almost similar words 19 years later: “That’s one small step for (a) man, one giant leap for mankind”? And this time for real! Tintin But how did Hergé anticipate the lunar adventure with such precision, especially coming so many years ahead of an actual man in space, let alone a Moon landing? The Tintin Moon adventure has been widely acclaimed by critics for its exceptional attention to technical detail, with many hailing it as a masterpiece for its uncannily accurate portrayal of lunar landscapes and space exploration. It’s intriguing that, unlike Hergé’s earlier works, the Moon series, in his own words, didn’t have any “moonmen, monsters, or incredible surprises.” That way it’s fascinating how a renowned children’s comic book author would transition to science fiction while maintaining a fervent commitment to realism and accuracy. For his tale on the lunar adventure to be a success, Hergé understood it was crucial to ground the space journey in scientific fact. Some believe Hergé's foray into science fiction could have been prompted by his friendly competition with colleague Edgar P. Jacobs, who introduced his own science fiction comic, The Secret of the Swordfish, in 1950. Beyond this rivalry, Hergé is also believed to have drawn inspiration from Jules Verne's 1870 novel Around the Moon and the 1950 American film Destination Moon. For his tale on the lunar adventure to be a success, Hergé understood it was crucial to ground the space journey in scientific fact. He carefully eliminated anything fanciful or unrealistic from the script and conducted extensive research on rockets and space travel. He is said to have received help from his friend Bernard Heuvelmans, author of the non-fiction work L’Homme parmi les étoiles (Man Among the Stars). Additionally, he initiated correspondence with Alexander Ananoff, author of L’Astronautique, a book on space travel. During this period, Hergé also visited the Center for Atomic Research at the Ateliers de Constructions Electriques de Charleroi. Notably, he commissioned the construction of a small rocket model, which he presented to Ananoff for validation of its realism as a representation of a moon rocket. Subsequently, Hergé utilized this model for precise sketches when producing the comic. Naturally, all this research showed up in the final product. The computer system at the Sprodj Space center in the made-up country of Syldavia looked a lot like UNIVAC I, the first commercially produced general-purpose electronic digital computer designed for business applications in the United States. Tintin's Moon rocket seemed to have been inspired by the V-2 rocket, the first long-range missile made by the Germans during World War II. It’s hard to miss the similarity between the red-and-white checkered pattern on Hergé’s rocket and the black-and-white pattern on V-2. Tintin The resemblance between the red-and-white checkered pattern adorning Hergé’s rocket and the black-and-white design of the V-2 rocket is unmistakable. In both books, Hergé seamlessly integrates elements of real science, infusing the adventures with a sense of authenticity. From the meticulously detailed space suits to the innovative use of atomic motors and rocket thrusters for navigation, the description of space exploration in the book reflects a deep respect for scientific principles. Tintin The portrayal of weightlessness in space, along with the humorous inclusion of whiskey bubbles, adds a sense of fun to the story while maintaining its realism. Tintin Who would have thought about the concept of viewing Earth as a 3D sphere more than 50 years before Google Earth! Hergé even goes as far as to suggest that water exists under the Moon’s surface. Till a few years ago, you would have laughed it off as fiction. As pointed out by literary critic Jean-Marie Apostolidès in The Metamorphoses of Tintin, there was a notable departure from the conventional “good vs. evil” narrative seen in Hergé’s earlier works. Instead, a new theme emerged: the struggle between “truth and error” as the lunar adventure takes on a mystical quality guided by scientific principles. The Metamorphoses of Tintin is the English translation of the first critical examination of the iconic Tintin cartoons where Apostolidès delved into character evolution and unveiled the cohesive vision underlying Hergé’s masterpiece. There was a notable departure from the conventional “good vs. evil” narrative seen in Hergé’s earlier works. Instead, a new theme emerged: the struggle between “truth and error”. Adding to the delight throughout the lunar adventure is Hergé’s signature humor, infusing the narratives with wit and charm, while his creation of lovable and awe-inspiring characters further enriches the storytelling experience. Destination Moon and Explorers on the Moon are not only masterpieces in storytelling but also serve as valuable lessons in the art of balancing serious themes with lighthearted comedy. Despite its Belgian origins, the Tintin series has garnered immense popularity and recognition worldwide, transcending cultural barriers, captivating readers from diverse backgrounds. The series has sparked imaginations across generations, instilling a sense of wonder and excitement for the unknown. Tintin and his friends (including the snow-white Snowy) were as inspiring for our generation, and perhaps the one before that, till Harry Potter came in. After all, the boy with a tuft of ginger hair who “always did the right thing”, had gone, to borrow the Star Trek line, “where no man had gone before”. [This article was earlier published on the author’s Medium account.] Anusuya Datta is a writer/journalist with a keen interest in Earth observation and sustainability issues. She is also part of the EO4SDG board and has delivered guest lectures at the University of British Columbia’s school of journalism on using satellite imagery in storytelling.

Book Review: "Still As Bright"

book cover Review: Still As Bright by Jeff Foust Monday, April 22, 2024 Bookmark and Share Still As Bright: An Illuminating History of the Moon, from Antiquity to Tomorrow by Christopher Cokinos Pegasus Books, 2024 hardcover, 448 pp., illus. ISBN 978-1-63936-569-2 US$35 Early in his new book Still As Bright, Christopher Cokinos writes that, like so many boys in the early Space Age, he dreamed of becoming an astronaut after first becoming an Air Force pilot, even joining the Civil Air Patrol. “To this day, I remember Miss Hawk literally pulling me out of advanced algebra, though I don’t know why,” he writes, “and by the next class I was in remedial math, resigned, overnight, to never having wings pinned on a uniform.” This book is, on one level, a history of our studies of the Moon, as its subtitle suggests, but interwoven in those chapters is the author’s own experiences related to the Moon. He instead became a writer and English professor (including essays published here) but with an interest in the night sky, and specifically the Moon, that continued through his adult life. “The Moon is a provocation for culture, art, and science,” he writes in the prologue of the book, an examination of the Moon and our relationship with it, as our interest in exploring and perhaps one day living on it grows. It is similar in its themes, but different in approach, to Rebecca Boyle’s Our Moon (see “Review: Our Moon”, The Space Review, April 1, 2024) published earlier this year This book is, on one level, a history of our studies of the Moon, as its subtitle suggests. He explores various aspects of our changing understanding of the Moon over the centuries, from efforts centuries ago to map the lunar surface and name its features to the Apollo missions that walked on that surface. He explores in detail some specific topics, like the study of, and controversy surrounding, transient lunar phenomena that could be evidence of ongoing lunar activity—if such phenomena exist—as well as the special attention that the Apollo 15 crew gave to their geologic training ahead of their mission, which paid off for the astronauts and the scientists alike. Interwoven in those chapters is the author’s own experiences related to the Moon, from childhood to the present day; a memoir of sorts. Much of that revolves around observing the Moon, from childhood attempts using a small telescope called a Space Conqueror (a copy of which he finds in a thrift store decades later and restores) to larger telescopes he owns. Late in the book, he visits Mt. Wilson and observes the Moon through the 60-inch telescope there. The thrill of seeing the Moon up close comes though those pages. Still As Bright and Our Moon are complementary to each other, taking different approaches to exploring the Moon and humanity’s relationship with it, as well as the authors’ own perspectives. Those perspectives are continuing to evolve. While Cokinos gave up on his dreams of becoming an astronaut in school, last month he commanded a lunar mission of sorts: a six-day analog lunar mission organized by the University of Arizona in a habitat at Biosphere 2, part of a crew that included a poet, textile artist, and dancer/choreographer. Asked afterwards if he would be willing to go to the Moon, he responded, “I would do it in a heartbeat.” Jeff Foust (jeff@thespacereview.com) is the editor and publisher of The Space Review, and a senior staff writer with SpaceNews. He also operates the Spacetoday.net web site. Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author alone.

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For All Mankind Renewed With Fascinating Spin Off Star City

Apple renews globally acclaimed, hit space drama “For All Mankind” for season five and announces new spinoff series “Star City” Thrilling new spinoff series from Sony Pictures Television and Apple explores the world of the Soviet space program, and hails from award-winning “For All Mankind” creators Ben Nedivi, Matt Wolpert and Ronald D. Moore PRESS RELEASE April 17, 2024 “For All Mankind” key art “For All Mankind” will return for a fifth season alongside new spinoff series “Star City” on Apple TV+. Following its critically acclaimed fourth season, which has been praised as “the best-written show on all of television” and “superior sci-fi,” Apple TV+’s hit, award-winning space drama series “For All Mankind” has landed a renewal for season five. Additionally, Apple TV+ and “For All Mankind” creators Ronald D. Moore, Matt Wolpert and Ben Nedivi will expand the “For All Mankind” universe with a brand-new spinoff series, “Star City,” which will be showrun by Nedivi and Wolpert. Both series are produced for Apple TV+ by Sony Pictures Television. “Our fascination with the Soviet space program has grown with every season of ‘For All Mankind,’” said executive producers Wolpert and Nedivi. “The more we learned about this secret city in the forests outside Moscow where the Soviet cosmonauts and engineers worked and lived, the more we wanted to tell this story of the other side of the space race. We could not be more excited to continue building out the alternate history universe of ‘For All Mankind’ with our partners at Apple and Sony.” “With each new season, ‘For All Mankind’ continues to build out a fascinating world and capture global audiences through high quality storytelling that has been so skillfully developed by Ron, Matt and Ben,” said Matt Cherniss, head of programming for Apple TV+. “There is so much to explore, and we, along with our partners at Sony, can’t wait to dive into this next chapter of the engrossing ‘For All Mankind’ universe.” A robust expansion of the “For All Mankind” universe, “Star City” is a propulsive, paranoid thriller that takes us back to the key moment in the alt-history retelling of the space race — when the Soviet Union became the first nation to put a man on the moon. But this time, we explore the story from behind the Iron Curtain, showing the lives of the cosmonauts, the engineers and the intelligence officers embedded among them in the Soviet space program, and the risks they all took to propel humanity forward. “Star City” is created by Wolpert, Nedivi, and Moore. Nedivi and Wolpert serve as showrunners and executive produce alongside Moore and Maril Davis of Tall Ship Productions. Since its global debut, “For All Mankind” has been widely acclaimed as “one of the best shows on television,” and season four holds a perfect 100% Certified Fresh score on Rotten Tomatoes. “For All Mankind” is created by Emmy Award winner Moore, and Emmy nominees Wolpert and Nedivi. Wolpert and Nedivi serve as showrunners and executive produce alongside Moore and Davis of Tall Ship Productions, as well as David Weddle, Bradley Thompson, Seth Edelstein and Kira Snyder. “For All Mankind” is produced for Apple TV+ by Sony Pictures Television. The latest season of “For All Mankind” rocketed the series into the new millennium. In the eight years since season three, Happy Valley has rapidly expanded its footprint on Mars by turning former foes into partners. It’s now 2003, and the focus of the space program has turned to the capture and mining of extremely valuable, mineral-rich asteroids that could change the future of both Earth and Mars. But simmering tensions between the residents of the now-sprawling international base threaten to undo everything they are working toward. All four seasons of “For All Mankind” are now streaming globally on Apple TV+. Apple TV+ offers premium, compelling drama and comedy series, feature films, groundbreaking documentaries, and kids and family entertainment, and is available to watch across all of a user’s favorite screens. After its launch on November 1, 2019, Apple TV+ became the first all-original streaming service to launch around the world, and has premiered more original hits and received more award recognitions faster than any other streaming service in its debut. To date, Apple Original films, documentaries and series have been honored with 482 wins and 2,142 award nominations and counting, including multi-Emmy Award-winning comedy “Ted Lasso” and historic Oscar Best Picture winner “CODA.” About Apple TV+ Apple TV+ is available on the Apple TV app in over 100 countries and regions, on over 1 billion screens, including iPhone, iPad, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro, Mac, popular smart TVs from Samsung, LG, Sony, VIZIO, TCL and others, Roku and Amazon Fire TV devices, Chromecast with Google TV, PlayStation and Xbox gaming consoles, and at tv.apple.com, for $9.99 per month with a seven-day trial. For a limited time, customers who purchase and activate a new iPhone, iPad, Apple TV, Mac or iPod touch can enjoy three months of Apple TV+ for free.* For more information, visit apple.com/tvpr and see the full list of supported devices. *Special offer is good for three months after the first activation of the eligible device. One offer per Family Sharing group. Plans automatically renew until cancelled. Other restrictions and terms apply; visit apple.com/promo for more information.

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A Review Of Lisa Kaltenegger's Alien Earths

reviews, news & interviews Lisa Kaltenegger: Alien Earths: Planet Hunting in the Cosmos review – a whole new world Kaltenegger's traverses space in her thoughtful exploration of the search for life among the stars by Jon TurneyThursday, 18 April 2024ShareFacebookTwitterEmail Author Lisa Kaltenegger watches the skies Our home planet orbits the medium-size star we call the Sun. There are unfathomably many more stars out there. We accepted that these are also suns a little while back, cosmically speaking, or a few hundred of our human years ago. Ever since, in imagination, we have supplied other stars with planets, and planets with life. Science, so far, has lagged behind fiction. That may be about to change. The known universe has grown almost unimaginably larger since the time of Galileo. That feels like it should increase the chance there is something else alive out there, somewhere. But how to really detect that life, in the regrettable absence of any obvious attempts by other intelligences to communicate? It makes sense to work in stages. Find other stars with planets, or exoplanets in current jargon. Determine that some of those planets are Earth-like, on the grounds that our current sample of one has yielded all our current knowledge about how life began, evolves and behaves. Focus on the Earth-a-likes, and search for chemical signatures of the kinds of life we know, or can imagine. The first two tasks have become possible pretty recently, with spectacular results. The latest telescopes can detect the minute differences in light from a star when a planet passes in front of it. At first, the finds were all large, like our vast neighbour Jupiter, and very close to their governing star. But now we can register smaller planets - and the tally includes bodies that combine the right distance from a star of bearable intensity with a gravity strong enough to retain an atmosphere, if there is one, to qualify as Earth-like. Alien EarthsIt takes time to survey stars this way, but the likely numbers are extraordinary. The Kepler space telescope, launched in 2009, surveyed a few hundred thousand stars, with results indicating that there are more planets than stars in our galaxy. A fair proportion of them are small, rocky objects in the “Goldilocks zone”, neither too hot nor too cold to retain liquid water. As there are two hundred billion stars in the Milky Way, it is tempting to conclude now that it is odds on some of them shine on living planets. (There are, of course, billions more galaxies, but the others are too far away for Earth-bound astronomers to dissect in this fashion). But what about the clincher: actual signs of life? As we’re confined to observation from a vast distances, we’ll still be going by appearances - or the sophisticated variants of that method that go under the heading of spectroscopy. How, exactly, does a planet look? That is, when a planet reflects its own starlight, what proportions of what wavelengths of radiation might be discernible? Lisa Kaltenegger calls this a “light fingerprint”. Kaltenegger is director of the helpfully named Carl Sagan Institute to Search for Life in the Cosmos at Cornell University. Her book follows from her job description. Her own work has concentrated on synthesising information from any disciplines that seem relevant to the question. That includes study of the history of our own living planet, from geology and evolutionary biology. They show that conditions here in the past were quite unlike those we enjoy today, and that life can exist in forms very different from the ones we think of as typical on Earth. Add the data gleaned from space probes that have sent close-ups of the other planets – and their moons – in our own system and careful analysis can produce a typology of possible planetary environments, and what the kind of life they might support would look like from a very, very long way away. It is still partly work that rests on disciplined imagination, in other words, but yields computer models of possible worlds that can be used as guides to observation of the ever rising number of known exoplanets. Kaltenegger gives many detailed examples of the planetary environments that might arise out there, and how to recognise them, along with vignettes from her career and more astringent recollections of her progress as a woman in a largely male enterprise. This is her first book, and she delivers a very competent popularisation of her work that assumes no prior knowledge at all. It is indeed an excellent update on alien earths, and there is a lot to get up to date with. Still, our knowledge has key limitations, and the book is more about the (possible) earths than the aliens. Which raises a small doubt about a premise common to such accounts. Confirming the existence of life on other planets, they say, would change everything. Kaltenegger, who is properly cautious about what we know, or can know, most of the time, adopts the party line here. “Discovering life on another planet”, she writes, “would forever revolutionise our entire worldview.” Well, perhaps. I would certainly love to still be around when we have a clearer view of whether there is other life out there - and already planned astronomy projects may well give us that in the next decade or three. And it’s true, in a sense, that it would be a big change. We would be able to move on from one portion of what I think of as the minimal summary of what we know about the universe. We know, I reckon, that there is stuff. And we know that there is at least one small corner of this galaxy where stuff can self-organise cleverly enough to inflate a small bubble of consciousness, which then wonders how it got here. For now, anybody who wants to go beyond that is moving into speculation. The enterprise Kaltenegger works at so determinedly aims to alter that “at least one”. And we are indeed intriguingly poised at a time when there may be hard evidence of life emerging more than once, in the near future. But if we, the living, are not alone, that raises more questions that will remain hard to answer. Earth history indicates that life appeared rapidly, geologically-speaking, but then stayed simple for a billion years or more. Is the leap to more complexity than bacteria and viruses can sustain, then to multicellular creatures, always so difficult? What are the chances of intelligence emerging after that? And, if there are intelligent aliens, might we ever communicate with them, or even go visiting? Simply increasing the number of living worlds we think we know about from one to two, or even many, isn’t much help with these harder questions (though galactic distances mean the answer to the last pair is very likely to be, “no chance”). So let’s not get too excited about the undoubted progress that’s been made toward identifying life on other, real planets in our galaxy. But progress there has been, and that itself is remarkable enough to make this lively account of where that work stands a rewarding read. Alien Earths: Planet Hunting in the Cosmos by Lisa Kaltenegger (Allen Lane, £25) More book reviews on theartsdesk @jonturney.bsky.social

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Farrah The Super Star Satellite

FARRAH model Half-sized model of the FARRAH signals intelligence satellite in the restoration hangar at the Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center near Dulles International Airport outside Washington, DC. The first FARRAH satellite was launched in 1982 and used to detect ground, and possibly sea-based radars. The way the satellite appears here is similar to how it would orbit the Earth, with the direction of flight for the rotating satellite to the left. The satellite spun at greater than 50 revolutions per minute, sweeping its antennas across the face of the Earth below. (credit: author’s photo) FARRAH, the superstar satellite by Dwayne A. Day Monday, April 15, 2024 Bookmark and Share The Smithsonian’s Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center, located near Dulles International Airport outside of Washington, DC, has a large viewing gallery overlooking its restoration hangar. Whereas some museum artifacts spend years in the restoration hangar, many others cycle through quickly for a cleaning and minor repair work before returning to storage or display. Recently a surprising one showed up in the hangar, a half-scale model of a formerly top-secret signals intelligence satellite from the Cold War known as FARRAH. FARRAH was named after actress Farrah Fawcett, who rocketed to fame in the late 1970s after appearing on a poster in a swimsuit and then being cast as one of the angels in the popular TV show “Charlie’s Angels.” Unlike Farrah Fawcett, whose poster reportedly sold six million copies, no previous images of a FARRAH satellite have been released, so this was the satellite’s first public, albeit low-key, debut, 42 years after it was launched. Unlike Farrah Fawcett, whose poster reportedly sold six million copies, no previous images of a FARRAH satellite have been released, so this was the satellite’s first public, albeit low-key, debut, 42 years after it was launched. At least two and possibly up to five FARRAH satellites were built, starting in the early 1980s. They were among the last in the family of Program 989 satellites that operated in low Earth orbit and primarily detected signals emitted from Soviet ground-based radars. Program 989 started in the early 1960s under a different designation and satellites continued to operate probably until 2007, with about three dozen launched over 30 years. Most of the satellites were about the size of a large suitcase with multiple deployed antennas from their sides. They were ejected from other satellites soon after those satellites reached their operational orbits. The last few Program 989 satellites—possibly still using the FARRAH designation—were apparently much larger, shaped like tuna cans, and initially scheduled for launch from the Space Shuttle but later shifted to a few Titan II launches before the program ended in the early 1990s. The number of P-989 satellites launched per year was never high, peaking at four in 1968 and another four in 1969. After that, the launches dropped significantly. There was one launched in 1971, two in 1972, one in 1973, two in 1974, and then one each in 1976, 1978, and 1979. The satellites had code names like MABELI, RAQUEL, and URSULA. (See “Big bird, little bird: chasing Soviet anti-ballistic missile radars in the 1960s,” The Space Review, December 14, 2020.) When first developed, they stored their collected signals on tape recorders and played them back over American ground stations. The data was analyzed over weeks or even months to determine the characteristics of Soviet radars. In the early 1970s, URSULA was modified to make it more useful to tactical forces, and the later satellites, such as FARRAH, incorporated a direct downlink capability so that they did not have to record their signals for later playback. Assuming a single satellite constellation, the satellites had a lifetime of at least two to three years by the late 1970s, but this apparently increased significantly with later satellites. Snooping on signals The FARRAH I satellite was launched in 1982, deployed off the side of a massive HEXAGON photo-reconnaissance satellite and boosted into a higher orbit with a small rocket motor. The satellite spun at greater than 50 revolutions per minute, sweeping its antennas across the face of the Earth. FARRAH II was deployed in 1984 off the side of the nineteenth HEXAGON satellite launched, the last HEXAGON to reach orbit. An official history indicated that FARRAH I was still operational by the mid-1990s after more than a decade in orbit, but amateur ground observers noted that both satellites maintained their rotation rates until 2007 and then started to slowly spin down until they stopped spinning entirely by 2011, implying that they were each operational for more than two decades. (See “Little Wizards: Signals intelligence satellites during the Cold War,” The Space Review, August 2, 2021.) The exact missions performed by the FARRAH satellites are still classified, although by the late 1970s they were being used by the United States Army as part of a relatively new program known as TENCAP, for Tactical Exploitation of National CAPabilities. The specific Army program was known as the Tactical ELINT Processor/Tactical Unit Terminal system, or TEP/TUT, which had a unit logo featuring King Tutankhamun. TEP/TUT was a system mounted in vans and trailers that could be deployed with Army units in places such as West Germany and South Korea. FARRAH and other satellites could detect Soviet mobile air defense radar emitters. The mobile radars would guide vehicle-mounted missiles to shoot down American planes and helicopters. The satellite data would be processed by the ground system and distributed to Army commanders. The exact missions performed by the FARRAH satellites are still classified, although by the late 1970s they were being used by the United States Army as part of a relatively new program known as TENCAP. TENCAP was an increasingly expensive effort to bring “national level” intelligence collection systems that had previously served leaders such as the president, Pentagon, and intelligence officials, to directly support troops in the field. (See “From the sky to the mud: TENCAP and adapting national reconnaissance systems to tactical operations,” The Space Review, June 19, 2023.) FARRAH and similar satellites could fly over places such as Eastern Europe and nearly instantly provide useable intelligence to Army units in Germany. RAQUEL, URSULA, and FARRAH were all named for American actresses. Soon after Ronald Reagan became president, an official briefed him on American intelligence satellites. The person in charge of Program 989 was concerned that he would have to rename the satellites if Reagan objected—this would be expensive, because the names were included in computer programs. But when Reagan saw the names, he laughed and said that he knew those actresses, the names were fine. The half-size FARRAH model in the Udvar-Hazy restoration hangar looks similar to photos of the earlier URSULA satellites deployed during the 1970s, with some apparent changes to the antenna configuration. When the Smithsonian’s downtown Washington National Air and Space Museum fully reopens in a few years, the FARRAH model will go on display. Farrah Fawcett This poster adorned the wall of many American teenage boys in the 1970s, becoming the best-selling poster of all time. It also inspired somebody in the National Reconnaissance Office to name a satellite after Farrah Fawcett. Dwayne Day is interested in hearing from anybody with more information on the FARRAH satellites. He can be reached at zirconic1@cox.net.

Zero Gravity Regulations

Zero-gravity regulations by David Gillette and Emma Rohrbach Monday, April 15, 2024 Bookmark and Share Journalists have filled headlines about the “ultrarich” taking costly field trips to outer space. The issue of space tourism, seemingly frivolous to some, provides important insights into US regulations on innovation (see “The normalization of space tourism,” The Space Review, October 18, 2021.) For 20 years, the US government took a laissez-faire approach to regulating space tourism. The planned sunsetting of the “learning period” section of the US Commercial Space Launch Competitiveness Act of 2015 signaled a new age of regulatory hurdles. Markets have responded positively to the boom in space innovation, but can the industry continue to flourish under oncoming regulations? Though members of Congress develop regulations to reduce risk, safety is already one of the pivotal interests of space tourism companies; without it, they would not have a customer base, particularly not any repeat customers. In the early 2000s, space industry growth took off, as did concern in Congress about private companies’ ability to operate and innovate under regulatory barriers. In an unusual step for the US federal government, Congress passed the Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act in 2004, reducing regulatory pressure on the fledgling space tourism industry. Some of the law’s key elements were the streamlining of regulatory authority on space tourism to one entity, the Federal Aviation Administration, and the establishment of a moratorium on safety regulations for commercial space passengers. Government officials argued they did not have enough information to create appropriate and effective regulations and took a step back. The bill imposed an “informed consent” framework on companies, like the agreements in activities like skydiving. Beyond that, companies could operate relatively freely when sending non-astronaut civilians into space. Congress renewed the moratorium in 2015 but planned for it to sunset in October 2023 after the FAA and RAND Corporation reported they had gathered enough information about space tourism to begin making regulations for the safety of commercial spaceflight participants. (There have been several short-term extensions of the learning period, now to early May, as Congress works on a long-term FAA reauthorization bill.) Last summer, after the release of the RAND report, the FAA established a group to begin generating formal commercial spaceflight standards in preparation for the bill’s sunset. The FAA views these safety standards as essential to the industry’s continued growth. Regulations will likely focus on the areas of informed consent, training guidelines, medical screening, commercial liability, and accident investigation jurisdiction. During the moratorium, the FAA actively promoted the development of voluntary consensus standards among private companies and plans to incorporate these elements of consensus into the new regulations. However, planning to regulate suggests an insincere faith in the ability of the private sector to “govern” itself and opens up the opportunity for regulatory capture. Though members of Congress develop regulations to reduce risk, safety is already one of the pivotal interests of space tourism companies; without it, they would not have a customer base, particularly not any repeat customers. Past experience has already shown that regulations do not eliminate all risks or tragedies. Both business and government care about passenger safety; the question lies in which entity can best ensure it. New innovations mean, as one report stated, “a ride on SpaceX’s Crew Dragon capsule is about three times safer than a ride on NASA’s space shuttle was in the final years of its operation.” Even though passengers under the moratorium made their own informed-consent decisions about commercial space travel, the FAA still required spacecraft to undergo an approval process to carry human passengers. With some peace of mind about safety, the full scope of the regulation issue can be better understood. Key players in the space industry decry the potential end of the moratorium and point out ways their industry already bears heavy non-safety related regulation. For instance, Bill Gerstenmaier, SpaceX’s Vice President of Build and Flight Reliability, noted, “Licensing, including environmental approval, often takes longer than rocket development.” He added, “We should be the ones that are driving the development, not being driven by regulatory oversight.” The business community fears increased regulatory hurdles. If an absence of regulations turbo-launched space tourism innovation, how might the maritime, rail, and medical fields similarly benefit? In contrast, A RAND Corporation representative pointed out the rarity of the moratorium, stating, “It’s not something that other domains have had — aeronautics, maritime, rail, medical — yet those industries are also competitive.” Yet, how much more innovation might we have had in those industries under a more voluntary regulatory approach? Consumers in the domains mentioned by the RAND representative have experienced benefits from deregulation, such as the airline industry in 1978, the railroad industry in 1980, and the significantly more complicated telecommunications industry. Reduced regulations aided impressive advancements in space tourism, while companies voluntarily followed and advanced time-tested safety practices. The Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act produced a valuable controlled experiment. Regulations cover most activities in the industry, with only the area of space tourism left partially unregulated. The example of established, heavily regulated industries should not be used to justify increasing regulation on the nascent space industry. Instead, consider what policymakers can learn from this recent experiment. If an absence of regulations turbo-launched space tourism innovation, how might the maritime, rail, and medical fields similarly benefit? Hausman and Taylor argue, “Facilities-based [firm level] imperfect competition (and it can be highly imperfect) provides greater consumer welfare than imperfect “regulation forever.” With this argument in mind, new guidelines warrant concern. As history demonstrates, the regulation process is slow, and once created, regulations persist almost indefinitely. For example, in the intensely weakened maritime industry, the century-old Jones Act has seen almost no significant changes despite numerous reform attempts. New guidelines on space tourism will undergo an approximately five-year approval process with finalized guidelines anticipated in 2028 and implementation and enforcement lags to follow. Keeping up with guideline development will be crucial for companies competing in the industry, adding further costs and hindrances to innovation in space technology. Members of Congress should return to encouraging voluntary consensus standards among private companies instead of imposing blanket regulatory standards. Rather than ending the successful unregulated “learning period” for improving commercial spaceflight, Congress should expand this moratorium to other elements of the still burgeoning space industry, such as launch regulations and beyond. Instead of responding to imagined or precautionary risk scenarios, members of Congress should acknowledge the innovation and norm development already present in the successful private space industry as a testament to the power of taking a backseat on regulatory affairs whether in space, on land, or at sea. Giving innovators room to breathe absent extreme regulatory pressure would keep a new era of groundbreaking innovation in orbit, providing new opportunities for US and global citizens alike. David Gillette is a Professor of Economics at Truman State University. He regularly coordinates a speaker series and readings groups where students explore areas of interest not addressed in the mainstream economics curriculum. He enjoys researching and writing with students on a variety of topics of mutual interest. Emma Rohrbach is a student at Truman State University studying Economics and Political Science. Outside of class, she chairs an environmental project committee for Truman’s Student Government and works as a research assistant in the Economics Department. She is especially interested in innovation and the new frontiers of business.

Lunar Rover Racing

lunar rover The Lunar Dawn rover, proposed by a team led by Lunar Outpost, is among the three selected by NASA for its Lunar Terrain Vehicle program. (credit: Lockheed Martin) Lunar rover racing by Jeff Foust Monday, April 15, 2024 Bookmark and Share When NASA returns astronauts to the Moon later this decade, they will be hoofing it. On the Artemis 3 and, perhaps, Artemis 4 missions, the astronauts will be limited like the early Apollo missions to terrain they can access on foot. That also means they will be limited in the equipment they can carry, and the samples they can gather, to what they can hold in their hands. That will change with later Artemis missions. Indeed, by the early 2030s, if plans announced this month come to fruition, they will have their choice of vehicles for traversing the lunar terrain. One vehicle, to be developed commercially, will be an analog to the lunar rover used on the later Apollo missions, although with substantial upgrades in capabilities. The other will be the lunar equivalent of an RV to be provided by Japan, designed for long-duration expeditions far from the landing site. lunar rover Intuitive Machines is leading the Moon RACER team also selected for the LTV program. (credit: Intuitive Machines) Rovers as a service On April 3, NASA announced the winners of the long-awaited Lunar Terrain Vehicle (LTV) services contract. NASA started planning for the LTV more than four years ago with a series of requests for information on how to procure a small, unpressurized lunar rover. NASA finally issued a request for proposals last May for the LTV competition, with nine companies ultimately bidding on the competition. “Think of a hybrid of the Apollo-style lunar rover that was driven by our astronauts and an uncrewed mobile science platform,” said Wyche. At a briefing at the Johnson Space Center, NASA said it selected teams led by Intuitive Machines, Lunar Outpost, and Venturi Astrolab for the LTV program. All three would get initial task orders for one-year feasibility studies leading to preliminary design reviews. NASA did not disclose the value of the task orders but Intuitive Machines said their order was worth $30 million; presumably the other two companies received similarly sized orders. The LTV is intended primarily to be driven by NASA astronauts during Artemis missions, but can also be teleoperated when astronauts are not present for science or other applications, either for NASA or other customers. “Think of a hybrid of the Apollo-style lunar rover that was driven by our astronauts and an uncrewed mobile science platform,” explained Vanessa Wyche, director of JSC, at the briefing. NASA officials at the briefing declined to go into details about the selection of the three companies, or even say how many proposals it received, claiming that they were still in a procurement “blackout” phase. That included no details about the potential value of the contracts each winning company received. NASA released last week the source selection statement for the LTV competition. It confirmed that nine companies submitted proposals and that three—from automotive technology company 3Sixty Degrees, space robotics company GITAI, and a company identified only as ORBIT—were deficient and not evaluated. NASA evaluated the remaining six proposals and concluded that three did not make the cut, but didn’t explain why. Those proposals came from Astrobotic, Blue Origin, and Leidos; the first two had not publicly announced plans to compete for an LTV contract but Leidos had announced its plans a year ago unveiling a rover design and a team that included, among others, NASCAR. At that briefing, the companies were circumspect about their rover designs, providing few technical details like range, speed, payload capacity, and the like. Intuitive Machines, for example, is leading a team for concept called Moon Reusable Autonomous Crewed Exploration Rover, or Moon RACER. That team includes aerospace companies Boeing and Northrop Grumman as well as automotive companies AVL and Michelin. Steve Altemus, CEO of Intuitive Machines, said at that briefing the company would be refining the Moon RACER design over the next year. “There are a number of the subsystems that we have put in as the initial design that will be traded,” he said, from power to suspension. The NASA source selection statement praised the Intuitive Machines design for including “a unique type of detachable trailer architecture” but warned that, when attached, it would prevent the rover’s robotic arm from collecting samples. The design had the lowest price for development and operations of the three, at just under $1.7 billion, but also the lowest “mission suitability” score—a metric that assesses technical and management factors—of 705 out of 1,000. “I want a set of those [Goodyear lunar rover] tires for my own offroad vehicle,” said Cyrus. Lunar Outpost’s Lunar Dawn rover also has a joint aerospace/automotive roster of teammates such as Lockheed Martin, MDA Space, General Motors, and Goodyear. Lunar Outpost itself is by far the smallest of those companies, a startup working on smaller robotic rovers before winning an LTV contract. NASA, in its assessment, gave Lunar Dawn a higher score at 863 but noted it had a higher price, at nearly $1.73 billion. It noted it featured “an advanced technology for energy storage that is a reasonable and feasible approach to greatly exceed the vehicle performance requirements while meeting battery safety requirements,” an apparent reference to GM’s electric-vehicle battery technology being incorporated into the design. Lunar Outpost CEO Justin Cyrus also highlighted the tires of the rover, being developed by Goodyear, suggesting there were terrestrial spinoffs possible. “I’m really excited to see how they can bring some of the technology that we’re using as part of LTVS back down here to Earth,” he said at the briefing. “I want a set of those tires for my own offroad vehicle.” lunar rover Astrolab is developing its FLEX rover for the LTV program. (credit: Astrolab) Both Lunar Dawn and Moon RACER look like one might expect from a slightly futuristic rover design; the illustrations they released looked like something you might expect to see on a sci-fi novel cover, if in some cases oddly streamlined for travel on an airless world. Astrolab’s Flexible Logistics and Exploration (FLEX) rover, though, is different: a boxy design with astronauts standing at the back, it looks less like a lunar rover than a lunar Zamboni. NASA, though, was clearly impressed with the design, giving it the highest mission suitability score of the three at 905. (It also had the highest price, at nearly $1.93 billion.) The source selection statement cited “multiple exceedances of required minimum requirements” in the design, like its ability to climb higher slopes. Astrolab also proposed an option to deliver the rover as a co-manifested payload on the SpaceX Starship lander for Artemis 4, whereas NASA required companies only to have the rover ready by the time Artemis 5 landed. “We’re coming into this with a lot of experience already with the technologies we’re planning to apply here,” Jaret Matthews, CEO of Astrolab, said at the briefing, noting the company has racked up thousands of hours on a terrestrial prototype of FLEX and planned to launch a robotic version on a commercial Starship mission as soon as 2026. “We intend to exceed NASA’s requirements.” NASA, though, appeared to raise questions about Astrolab’s ability to follow through: its assessment of the startup’s limited past performance in the source selection statement gave it “a Low level of confidence that the Offeror will successfully perform the required effort.” Astrolab does not have any aerospace or automotive heavyweights on its team, working instead with companies like Axiom Space, which has a separate NASA contract to develop Artemis spacesuits. Nonetheless, Wyche noted in the source selection statement that all three companies had satisfied the minimum past performance requirements, which “gives me confidence that the teams are capable and possess the necessary experience to perform the work under the LTVS contract.” Like many other commercial initiatives, from cargo and crew transportation for the International Space Station to lunar landers, NASA is procuring a service, allowing the companies to offer the rovers to other customers, particularly when NASA is not using them on Artemis missions that, initially, will be annual expeditions spending a week on the surface. “We believe in the early phase that NASA will have to be somewhat of an anchor tenant,” Kearney said, with more commercial users coming later. That approach was intended to offer companies flexibility on how they achieved the technical requirements of the program. Lara Kearney, manager of NASA’s Extravehicular Activity and Human Surface Mobility program, noted that it was up to the companies to determine how they would provide ten years of rover services under the contract: one rover lasting the full ten years or a new rover every year for ten years. (None of the companies took either extreme: the source selection statement said that all three companies anticipated delivering one replacement rover over that ten-year period.) How that service model will work in terms of attracting other customers remains to be seen. At the briefing, Kearney said NASA expected initially to be the biggest customer, using the rover for up to 75% of the time. That fraction would decrease over the ten-year contract, she predicted, as more customers emerge. “We believe in the early phase that NASA will have to be somewhat of an anchor tenant,” she said. “We hope that, over the ten-year operating life of this vehicle, we can start bringing in more and more commercial requests as the market evolves.” The emphasis is on vehicle, singular: NASA, at the end of the year-long feasibility studies, plans to award a task order for development and demonstration of the rover to a single company. That is a break from past practices for services contracts where NASA has picked two or more companies. When NASA, three years ago, selected only SpaceX for its Human Landing System (HLS) program, the criticism, from industry and Congress, was strong enough that NASA went back and held a competition for a second lander. Kearney defended NASA’s approach at the briefing, saying it is “based on available budgets” but suggested there was room to modify it in the future. “We have a contract mechanism that will allow companies to continue to compete for future demonstrations and service periods,” she said. “Some of it comes down to just budgets. We have constrained budgets at the agency that we have to live within,” said Chris Hansen, deputy manager of the program, during another briefing last week at the 39th Space Symposium in Colorado Springs. “We maintain competition as far as we can into that.” lunar rover Toyota is working with the Japanese space agency JAXA on the Lunar Cruiser pressurized rover. (credit: Toyota) Lunar cruising At the April 3 briefing, one reporter asked how the LTV would fit into NASA’s plans given reports that Japan was developing a larger pressurized rover. Agency officials said that the proposed rover would offer a greater range than the LTV, but did not go into details, citing an announcement planned for the next week. That announcement came exactly a week later, when NASA and the Japanese government announced they had signed an agreement about additional cooperation on Artemis beyond Japanese contributions to the lunar Gateway. Under that agreement, the Japanese space agency JAXA would provide NASA a large pressurized rover in time for the Artemis 7 mission in the early 2030s. JAXA has been working with Toyota for several years on a rover concept they called “Lunar Cruiser.” The rover, powered by fuel cells, would support two astronauts for up to 30 days for extended journeys beyond the landing site; it would, in essence, be a mobile habitat, lasting for ten years. NASA, in turn, would deliver Lunar Cruiser to the surface of the Moon, using cargo versions of the HLS landers that SpaceX and Blue Origin are building. NASA would also provide two seats for Japanese astronauts on future Artemis lunar landing missions. While NASA has previously allocated seats on Gateway missions to JAXA as well as ESA, the Canadian Space Agency, and the United Arab Emirates, Japan is in line to be the first nation after the United States to land astronauts on the Moon as part of Artemis. Neither NASA nor JAXA, though, would say exactly when those Japanese astronauts would get to walk on the Moon. Asked about that at a briefing April 10, NASA administrator Bill Nelson offered a succinct response: “It depends.” “We’re all-in on this. It’s our main focus,” Matthews said of Astrolab. The implementing agreement that the two countries signed last week offered a range of criteria for crew assignments: “The timing of the flight opportunities will be determined by NASA in line with existing flight manifesting and crew assignment processes and will take into account program progress and constraints, MEXT’s [Japan’s Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology] request for the earliest possible assignment of the Japanese astronauts to lunar surface missions, and major PR [pressurized rover] milestones such as when the PR is first deployed on the lunar surface.” NASA associate administrator Jim Free said at the Space Symposium briefing a day after the announcement that it was premature to be thinking about what missions the Japanese astronauts would be assigned to, with no crews from any agency select for Artemis 3 and beyond. “Were a ways from assigning those folks today.” It’s likely, though, that at least one of the Japanese astronauts will fly before the rover itself. In December, Vice President Kamala Harris said at a National Space Council meeting that it was the goal of the US “to land an international astronaut on the surface of the Moon by the end of the decade.” lunar rover Apollo 16 astronaut Charlie Duke, wearing a VR headset, “drives” Astrolab’s lunar rover on display at a booth during the 39th Space Symposium last week. (credit: J. Foust) In the sprawling exhibit hall at Space Symposium, JAXA had a small scale model of Lunar Cruiser on display. At another booth, though, Astrolab had brought their full-sized terrestrial prototype of their FLEX rover. While stationary, visitors could climb aboard, don a VR headset, and “drive” the rover across the terrain of the lunar south polar region. “We’re all-in on this. It’s our main focus,” Matthews said of Astrolab at the booth. He noted the LTV version of FLEX will be slightly different from the one on display, he said slightly stretched out with larger tires, but otherwise the same core platform. “To have the validation of NASA is huge, to have the opportunity to work alongside them is huge,” he said of winning the LTV award. While he was talking, though, a different kind of validation took shape. An unexpected but very welcome visitor showed up at the booth: Charlie Duke, the Apollo 16 astronaut. Within moments, he was on FLEX, wearing the headset and driving across the Moon, 52 years after traveling around the Descartes Highlands on the Apollo lunar rover. The torch—or, perhaps, the keys to the rover—had been passed. Jeff Foust (jeff@thespacereview.com) is the editor and publisher of The Space Review, and a senior staff writer with SpaceNews. He also operates the Spacetoday.net web site. Views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author alone.