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Wednesday, May 31, 2023

China's Space Plane Returns After A Long Time In Space

X-37B
Many Western observers speculate that China’s spaceplane is similar in both design and its use to the Space Force’s X-37B, sene here after its latest flight. (credit: US Space Force/Staff Sgt. Adam Shanks)

China’s spaceplane returns: is this a new weapon in their counterspace arsenal?


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On May 8, China’s reusable spaceplane touched down at the Lop Nor military base. It was a flight lasting 276 days, launching last August from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center. The vehicle is known to have released an object in space in late October, which possibly could be a small satellite. This was the second spaceplane launch by China, after a brief flight in September 2020. Chinese sources had revealed that this system is known as Chongfu Shiyong Shiyan Hangtian Qi, which means a Repeat-Use Test Spacecraft.

There is a view that China’s spaceplane has been designed and developed on the same lines as that of the US spaceplane, the Boeing X-37B.

During 2017, Xinhua reported that China proposed to launch its reusable spacecraft during 2020. They had quoted this information based on the declaration from the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation. It was even mentioned that such systems would be useful for transporting (and getting back) people or payloads into orbit. Apparently, such a project was planned since a spaceplane is a good option to improve the frequency of launch in a cost-effective fashion. Yet, is this agenda for developing a spaceplane the only reason for the project, or is there something more to it?

All over the world, various agencies are working towards developing reusable spacecraft technologies. In the field of space tourism, both Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin have flown reusable suborbital vehicles. SpaceX is already taking astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) using reusable spacecraft launched by rockets with reused boosters. States like China have programs like Shenzhou for crewed missions to the Tiangong space station. This station is expected to maintain itself as a permanently crewed space station. Incidentally, China's Shenzhou-16 is slated to be launched in the coming days to take three astronauts to the space station.

The Chinese commercial space launch corporation called CAS Space (Guangzhou Zhongke Aerospace Exploration Technology Co., Ltd.) is involved towards the development of commercial space launch vehicle for suborbital travel. This company was established during 2018 and has already performed the first successful launch of a four-stage solid-fuel launch vehicle called Kinetica 1, in July 2022. In August 2021, the company had announced their intention for developing a suborbital space tourism vehicle called ZK-6. This vehicle, which is presently under development, is anticipated to be comparable to Blue Origin's New Shepard rocket. China’s space tourism agenda is likely to become a reality around 2025. This means that China has strategies in place for undertaking orbital and suborbital human travel. China is planning to undertake crewed Moon missions by 2030. China is also working with Russia on building a lunar research base. With all those efforts, it seems unlikely that China would convert its spaceplane project for human travel, at least in the foreseeable future.

There is a view that China’s spaceplane has been designed and developed on the same lines as that of the US spaceplane, the Boeing X-37B. The US spaceplane has undertaken six missions so far. The first mission, which lasted for 224 days, was launched in April 2010, while the sixth mission, which launched in May 2020, stayed in space for 908 days. For the last 13 years, the US has been totally silent about the purpose behind undertaking these missions. The only information available is the photographs of X-37B. Another input given by the US agencies is that, during the 2020 mission, one small satellite called FalconSat-8 was deployed, which contained five experimental payloads designed by NASA and the US Air Force.

There is no official information available in regards to China’s reusable spaceplane. In regards to the US intentions behind launching the spaceplane missions, there has been significant speculation for years. Since the Chinese project is also on somewhat similar lines, there could be several commonalities behind the purpose for such missions.

The mystery surrounding the real purpose for spaceplane missions raises doubts about their actual intentions. Could such vehicles be developed and tested for undertaking a space-based anti-satellite strike, or they are meant for undertaking high-altitude surveillance?

In regards to the US X-37B, initial expectations were that the project would be a replacement to the retired Space Shuttle program. However, it has never even been used even for carrying cargo to ISS. To argue that the US and China are using such missions to showcase reusable space capabilities may not be correct. Both these states have advanced space programs and there is no need for them to use such missions only for the purposes of the so-called demonstration of that capability.

There could be experiments on board those vehicles for testing space worthiness of various materials. Typically, it could be argued that such reusable autonomous spaceplanes could be testing advanced guidance, navigation, and control systems. They could also support research in thermal protection systems, reentry mechanisms, avionics, propulsion, and autonomous systems.

However, astronauts on the ISS already conduct various experiments in zero gravity. The Chinese space station is also hosting similar experiments. Hence, it could be argued that if you have an established space station, then there is not much of a need for a having a different platform like a spaceplane to undertake the experiments. At the same time, it is well understood that the space station cannot be an alternative to the spaceplane in every respect.

The mystery surrounding the real purpose for spaceplane missions raises doubts about their actual intentions. Could such vehicles be developed and tested for undertaking a space-based anti-satellite strike, or they are meant for undertaking high-altitude surveillance? Another use of such platforms has already been demonstrated and that is for the deployment of reconnaissance satellites. Since a spaceplane has a demonstrated capability of staying in space for almost 1,000 days, they can be viewed as important platforms designed for launching during pre-war/conflict stage. That would make them something like cyberattacks, which normally are seen taking place as a prelude to the war. Spaceplanes could be used in a “launch on demand” role for satellites before and during the war.

Artificial intelligence, machine learning, and deep learning are essentially data-dependent systems. These technologies at present are just beginning to be comprehensively used for space applications. However, there are some issues with their reliability and adaptability aspects. Along with the algorithmic developments, there are also issues related to quality and quantity of data. Spaceplanes, with such a long stay in space, must have collected a good amount of important data of military relevance. Such data could help improve on related AI applications.

Weaponization of a space is a reality. Spaceplanes appears to be a platform capable of launching both kinetic and non-kinetic counterspace missions. With such a platform available, states can demonstrate both deterrence and usability factors in regards to their counterspace agenda. However, it appears that some more work needs to be done to improve the capability of such spaceplanes. The existing systems may not yet be considered potent space-based weaponry. There could be some issues with their orbits towards undertaking military specific missions. However, looking at the trajectory of China’s counterspace program, it is likely that China will weaponize its spaceplane in the near future.


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The Death Of A Launch Company

 

Virgin Orbit
Virgin Orbit hoped a bankruptcy auction would bring in a new investor to rescue LauncherOne. Instead, its assets were bought by several companies. (credit: Virgin Orbit)

Death of a launch company


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LauncherOne made its public debut, like so many other things associated with Richard Branson, in a blaze of publicity. Branson and Virgin Galactic used the Farnborough International Airshow in England in July 2012 to announce the company’s plans to develop a small launch vehicle that would use the same WhiteKnightTwo plane developed for its SpaceShipTwo suborbital space tourism vehicle. (It switched a couple years later to a Boeing 747.) Branson brandished a model of that LauncherOne rocket from a window of a full-scale replica of SpaceShipTwo, surrounded by photographers, saying the rocket would start launching smallsats by 2016 for less than $10 million a launch. He also announced, for good measure, that SpaceShipTwo would begin commercial suborbital flights in December 2013.

“We’re not looking or in the business of making a major UK investment in acquiring a platform that hasn’t worked,” said Freeman, the UK space minister.

LauncherOne met its demise behind the closed doors of a bankruptcy auction last week. At the auction, three aerospace companies and one liquidator submitted high bids with a combined value of about $36.5 million for most of the assets of Virgin Orbit, the company spun out of Virgin Galactic in 2017 to develop and operate LauncherOne. The company, in a brief statement May 23, confirmed that it would cease operations once the sales were finalized. LauncherOne would not fly again.

Virgin Orbit had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in early April as it exhausted it cash, days after laying off all but 100 of its nearly 800 employees (see “Go big or go home?”, The Space Review, April 17, 2023). The company held out hope, though, that someone would buy the entire company and continue operations, emphasizing that the remaining employees were continuing preparations for the next LauncherOne mission—a return to flight after January’s launch failure—later in the year.

The company was laying the groundwork for that emergence even before the bankruptcy auction. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission in mid-April, it said that, if was able to resume operations under new ownership, it planned to hire back some workers, growing to 275 employees by the end of the year. “Thereafter in 2024, we would seek to increase our launch rate,” the company stated.

That required a suitor to put in a high bid in an expedited bankruptcy auction process that would play out over the first few weeks of May. That process was intended to maximize the money raised for Virgin Orbit’s creditors, but allowed it to accept bids for subsets of the company: specific assets, like its Boeing 747 aircraft that served as LauncherOne’s launch platform. The whole might be worth less than the sum of its parts.

In a May 8 statement, Virgin Orbit said it had received more than 30 “indications of interest” in the company’s assets as part of the auction process. That included, it said, “multiple parties that proposed to continue to operate the business as a going concern and retain current employees in an integrated enterprise.” Company CEO Dan Hart said he was “pleased” with the interest, “which we believe reflects the innovative ideas and hard work the team has put into the development of this unique system.”

It was not clear, though, who any of the “multiple parties” reportedly interested in buying all of Virgin Orbit were. No companies or organizations expressed publicly any interest in buying all of the company and keeping it running.

Some turned to the British government as a potential suitor. The Branson connection and Virgin Orbit’s role in hosting the first orbital launch attempt from UK soil in January (albeit an unsuccessful one) appeared to fit into the government’s interest in developing a domestic launch capability. There was also precedent: in 2020, the government partnered with Indian telecom company Bharti Global to buy broadband satellite company OneWeb out of Chapter 11, allowing it to proceed with the deployment of its constellation.

A government minister, though, ruled that out while the auction process was ongoing. “We’re not sitting here thinking of making a major acquisition, and acquiring and developing a UK sovereign launch capability,” said George Freeman, minister for science, innovation, and technology, at a May 17 hearing by a Parliament committee.

He said the government had “taken a close interest” in Virgin Orbit but declined to make a bid. “As minister for the space industry here, we stand ready to support a specific proposal that looks sustainable—financially sustainable and commercially sustainable—but we’re not looking or in the business of making a major UK investment in acquiring a platform that hasn’t worked.”

Virgin Orbit
Virgin Orbit’s 747 attracted interest, but its launch system found no takers. (credit: Virgin Orbit)

Alternate histories

It is not clear, in the end, that anyone submitted a bid for the entire company. Hart, in a filing with federal bankruptcy court after the conclusion of the auction, said the company “received indications of interest from Potential Bidders for several distinct groups of assets that included machinery and equipment, leases, an aircraft, and inventory.” He said Virgin Orbit decided to split the assets into several segments.

Rocket Lab, in a statement, said the purchase of the Virgin Orbit facility and equipment would help it develop Neutron. It emphasized, though, it was not acquiring Virgin Orbit’s launch systems or technologies.

Three of the segments ended up going to companies that reflected alternate futures for Virgin Orbit, had its technology or finances gone in different directions. One segment, the company’s headquarters and main manufacturing facility in Long Beach, California, along with the machinery and equipment inside it, went to Rocket Lab for $16.1 million. Rocket Lab was a competitor to Virgin Orbit in the small launch sector, but one with a better technical and business track record. While Virgin Orbit conducted only six launches in its history, Rocket Lab conducted its 37th Electron launch last week almost exactly six years after the first. That launch was also its fifth of 2023, with up to ten more projected through the end of the year.

Rocket Lab, like Virgin Orbit, went public through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), completing its SPAC deal within days of Virgin Orbit announcing its merger. That timing was critical: Rocket Lab was early in the wave of SPAC deals, raising hundreds of millions of dollars it could use to diversify its business and invest in Neutron, a medium-class reusable rocket.

In contrast, by the time Virgin Orbit’s SPAC deal closed at the end of 2021, investor interest in SPACs in general had soured, and Virgin Orbit raised less than half the funding it projected. Hart, in an affidavit filed with the court shortly after the Chapter 11 proceedings started in April, said that the shortfall in capital raised by the SPAC deal led the company to hire Goldman Sachs in early 2022 to help raise capital or even sell the company. Those efforts failed to raise money.

Rocket Lab, in a statement, said the purchase of the Virgin Orbit facility and equipment would help it develop Neutron, particularly since that facility was just a few blocks from Rocket Lab’s Long Beach headquarters. The company emphasized, though, it was not acquiring Virgin Orbit’s launch systems or technologies.

“With Neutron’s design and development well-advanced, this transaction represents a capital expenditure savings opportunity to augment our production capability to bring Neutron to the launch pad quickly to serve our customers and their future success,” said CEO Peter Beck.

A second segment of Virgin Orbit’s assets, its test facility and equipment in Mojave, California, went to Launcher for $2.7 million. That company was also once a competitor to Virgin Orbit in the small launcher sector. But, in February, it announced it was acquired by Vast, a well-funded startup focused on developing commercial space stations (see “A vastly different approach to space stations”, The Space Review, May 15, 2023).

As part of the acquisition, Launcher dropped plans to build its own launch vehicle, but said it would continue work on the rocket engine it had been developing for it, instead offering it to other customers. In a court filing, Max Haot, founder of Launcher and now president of Vast, said the Mojave facilities that Virgin Orbit owned would allow it “to increase its development and test cadence” of that engine, which it has been testing at NASA’s Stennis Space Center.

A third segment, the Boeing 747 plane and related equipment, went to Stratolaunch for $17 million. Stratolaunch was the only company that had shown a public interest in Virgin Orbit before the auction, reaching a deal to make that offer for the plane as a “stalking horse bid” for the auction that set a floor for any other offers.

Stratolaunch, too, was once in the launch business, famously developing a giant aircraft called Roc without being sure exactly what it would launch—at one point, the company considered having the plane carry three Pegasus XL rockets at a time. The company, under new ownership after the death of billionaire founder Paul Allen, later shifted to using the plane as a platform for hypersonic vehicles; it performed a drop test of one such vehicle, called Talon TA-0, earlier in the month. (Virgin Orbit had also considered expanding into hypersonics and missile defense testing, but never made much public progress in those markets.)

Stratolaunch, in a statement, said the acquisition of the 747 would allow it to increase its capacity for hypersonics testing, working alongside Roc. “With Roc remaining as our mainstay aircraft, an additional 747 brings expanded capabilities and flexibility to our platform,” said Stratolaunch CEO Zachary Krevor. “We will be able to increase both our flight test capacity and reach to become an even stronger partner to global customers.”

“With Roc remaining as our mainstay aircraft, an additional 747 brings expanded capabilities and flexibility to our platform,” said Stratolaunch CEO Krevor.

Stratolaunch said the plane will enter operations next year after undergoing unspecified modifications to support hypersonics testing. The company released illustrations of the plane in new Stratolaunch livery, releasing a Talon hypersonic vehicle, and added that the plane, which had been known as “Cosmic Girl” since its time as a Virgin Atlantic airliner, will be renamed.

Equipment that Virgin Orbit had in a second facility in Long Beach was sold to a liquidation company, Inliper Acquisition LLC, for $650,000. However, the company did not sell the final segment of its assets, its inventory that included several LauncherOne rockets in various phases of production. Virgin said in a court filing that it was in “their business judgment” not to continue the auction of those items at this time, but didn’t elaborate. It is possible that the value of that hardware is now not sufficiently different than if it was scrap.

Virgin Orbit
Stratolaunch spent $17 million acquiring Virgin Orbit’s “Cosmic Girl” plane, which will get a new mission supporting hypersonic research—as well as a new name and paint job. (credit: Stratolaunch)

Air launch doesn’t take off

The court filing about the bankruptcy auction noted that no “next-highest bidders,” who would be eligible to step in and buy the assets if the high bidders were unable to close their deals, were selected. That suggested there were no other bidders for those assets, or for the company as a whole.

So why did no one ride to the rescue of Virgin Orbit? Some in the industry had hoped for a scenario like what happened more than two decades ago with Iridium, when that satellite constellation company filed for Chapter 11 and came close to shutting down and deorbiting its satellites before it was sold. The new Iridium has flourished since then, becoming a profitable venture that was able to finance a second-generation satellite system.

In the case of Iridium, though, most of its costs had already been incurred by the time it reached Chapter 11 bankruptcy, its constellation nearly complete. A new owner could come in and buy the assets for pennies on the dollar, then spend a relatively modest amount of money to operate the satellites. That, along with the foundation of a Defense Department contract, gave the company breathing room to grow the business gradually.

Virgin Orbit did not have that luxury. It had to keep producing rockets and maintain its aircraft, high costs that became a burden on the company. At a higher flight rate, those costs could perhaps be more effectively amortized, but Virgin Orbit was never able to achieve its promised high flight rates—a dozen or more missions a year—launching only twice in 2021 and again in 2022.

There is a commonly expressed belief that Virgin Orbit’s January launch failure led to its bankruptcy filing in April and eventual breakup. Had the launch been a success, they argue, the publicity surrounding the first orbital launch from the UK would have attracted new customers and new investors, keeping the company afloat (or aloft).

In the end, investors put more than $1 billion into a venture that, at its best, could demonstrate the technical viability of air launch, but could not prove its financial viability.

That could have happened, but it was clear from the company’s bankruptcy filings that it struggled to find investors long before that launch failure. Virgin Orbit was losing roughly $50 million a quarter—it ended 2022 with a net loss of $191.1 million—and any new investment might have only delayed the inevitable.

Virgin Orbit had trumpeted the unique strengths of air launch, including the ability to fly from almost any airport that can accommodate a 747. But there was insufficient demand for those benefits to overcome the high costs of operating the system. A clear warning sign, in retrospect, was the Space Force’s award of a launch contract for a “tactically responsive space” demonstration last September not to Virgin Orbit, whose LauncherOne seemed well-suited for it, but instead to Firefly Aerospace, whose Alpha rocket was just about to make its first successful orbital launch.

In the end, investors put more than $1 billion into a venture that, at its best, could demonstrate the technical viability of air launch, but could not prove its financial viability.

Other launch companies could soon follow. Astra disclosed earlier this month it was down to $62.7 million in cash and equivalents on hand after a $44.9 million net loss in the first quarter. It reported no revenue in the quarter.

Astra, which retired its failure-prone Astra 3.3 last year and is still working on the larger Rocket 4, remained optimistic despite its dwindling cash. The company “has several levers that we think help us continue to improve our cash runway,” CFO Axel Martinez said in an earnings call, but did not disclose what those levers are and how much additional runway they might provide.

Branson, who waved a model of LauncherOne aloft at Farnborough more than a decade ago, had remained quiet in public about the fate of that venture. He was in New Mexico last week to see Virgin Galactic’s first suborbital spaceflight since his own trip in July 2021. That event was uncharacteristically low-key for Branson and Virgin Galactic: unlike Branson’s flight, there were no media invited to Spaceport America and no webcast of the flight, just a slow trickle of tweets confirming the flight went as planned.

A video he tweeted showed him watching the ascent of SpaceShipTwo from the spaceport, saying nothing as a nearby group cheered. After the flight, Virgin Galactic announced it was now on track to begin commercial service as soon as next month, only nine and half years later than Branson’s estimate at Farnborough.


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The Planet Mars Now Has A Reality Show

 

Stars on Mars
“Stars on Mars” was filmed in the Australian desert. A group of celebrities lived in this habitat and each week they voted somebody out the airlock. (credit: Fox)

Red planet reality


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Here we go. All over again.

We don’t know what the winner of “Stars on Mars” will get, but it won’t be a trip to the Red Planet.

On June 5, Fox premieres a new reality show called “Stars on Mars.” The premise is that a group of C-list celebrities are stuck together in a simulated Mars habitat and go on various missions in fake spacesuits to compete for prizes. William Shatner—Captain Kirk himself—is back in “mission control,” overseeing the entire effort. This is the latest in a long list of space-themed reality shows, most of which never blasted off.

Let’s be real: reality television is anything but. The drama and conflict on screen is often staged, encouraged, or created in the editing room. The contestants, of course, are not on Mars; the show was filmed in the same corner of the Australian desert where a crew filmed Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome, four decades ago. “Stars on Mars” was only revealed in April and then put on the schedule this month. It is now the thirteenth time that somebody has attempted to create a space-themed reality TV show, and this will only be the second one to air. The other ones probably failed because they tried to make a space flight as the prize for the winner. We don’t know what the winner of “Stars on Mars” will get, but it won’t be a trip to the Red Planet.

The last time we were here was in 2020, when the Hollywood publication Deadline reported about a show called “Space Hero.” The producers for that show had reportedly “secured a seat on a 2023 mission to the International Space Station” for the winner of their show’s competition. It never happened, and no winner of the show is flying to the ISS this year.

The trend began two decades earlier, with what we could call the “Russian Phase” of these projects. Back in 2000 there was the first of a long string of announced reality television shows that would culminate in a flight into space for a lucky winner. The first one, or at least the first one that became public, was “Destination: Mir” proposed in 2000 by Mark Burnett, the producer of numerous successful reality television shows, most notably “Survivor.” Burnett wanted to fly the winner of a reality show competition to the Russian space station aboard a Soyuz spacecraft. NBC even announced that the show would be on its 2001 schedule. After the Mir space station was deorbited, Burnett renamed the show “Destination: Space,” featuring a flight to the International Space Station instead. The reputed price tag for the show was $50 million. Burnett’s project never made it to television.

After that, other projects were announced. Amsterdam-based MirCorp indicated they had plans for a show called “Ancient Astronaut,” which quickly faded into obscurity, like most of MirCorp’s other efforts. The company then worked on another television project known as “Celebrity Mission,” which was supposed to put NSYNC singer Lance Bass into orbit, but the Bass mission turned farcical as the singer went to Russia but was unable to pay his bills. (Some 17 years later, Bass poked fun at himself as the proprietor of “Lance Bass Space Camp” in the now-canceled ABC sitcom “Single Parents.”) A European project called “Space Commander” was also proposed and quickly disappeared. In fall 2002, Russia’s TV1 television channel announced that it had struck a deal to send the winner of a Russian reality TV show into space in 2003. TV1 was supposedly working with Mark Burnett, but again after an initial press announcement, nothing more was heard from the network about this project. Then in July 2003, Virginia-based Space Adventures announced that it had signed a deal to purchase two seats on a Soyuz ISS mission. One option the company was exploring was a reality TV show. However, nothing more was heard about that plan either. All of these shows would have used the Russian Soyuz spacecraft and the International Space Station.

Anybody can write a Hollywood press release, but very few people can raise tens of millions of dollars of capital to fund a television production.

These early failed proposals inspired a United Kingdom production team which realized that they didn’t need to launch anybody into space at all, they only needed to pretend to do so. In 2005, Channel 4’s “Space Cadet” tricked contestants into thinking they were being launched into space to a Russian space station. The show deliberately picked gullible people and eliminated anybody who might figure out the ruse too early. "Aw man," one contestant said upon learning the truth. "We’re not astronauts. We're just asses." Notably, “Space Cadet” is the only other space-themed reality show that made it into production, until now.

Stars on Mars
The “stars” consist of a bunch of little-known celebrities. William Shatner wisely stayed back on Earth. (credit: Fox)

The late 2000s was the start of the second round of reality show proposals, the “suborbital rocket” phase. “Space Hero’s” creator was trying to come up with a space-themed show in 2008 that never progressed very far and it took him 12 years to try again. In fall 2013, Burnett was back with “Space Race,” also for NBC, but this time the prize would be a flight aboard a Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo spacecraft. That show plan also folded after a fatal crash of SpaceShipTwo during testing. Virgin Galactic still has not started tourist flights—any day now—and since that time other space tourist companies such as XCOR have gone belly up. Blue Origin has developed a space tourist capability that could possibly support a reality television show, but so far there has been no public talk about a show using Blue’s New Shepard rocket.

The most recent round has been the “SpaceX phase” of reality show proposals. There was Sony Pictures TV’s “Milky Way Mission.” Bas Lansdorp’s Mars One (remember them?) was also supposed to result in a reality TV show produced by Lionsgate TV, but Mars One declared bankruptcy in early 2019. In January 2020, Japanese billionaire Yusaku Maezawa, who reportedly booked a flight to fly in a SpaceX Starship around the Moon, announced a documentary and contest to find a woman 20 years or older to be his “girlfriend” on the flight. This announcement resulted in such a public backlash that two weeks later Maezawa canceled the project and apologized on Twitter.

Anybody can write a Hollywood press release, but very few people can raise tens of millions of dollars of capital to fund a television production. And a reality TV show involving actual spaceflight has in many ways always been a contradiction in terms. The appeal of reality television for TV networks (or now streaming services) has long been that they can be produced substantially cheaper than scripted dramas. There are no expensive stars to pay, and the writing team also costs a lot less. Often the shows are filmed in pre-existing locations such as a mansion where a bachelor hands out roses. The production certainly has to modify the location for filming purposes (usually adding a hot tub and a lot of cameras), but that can be much cheaper than building multiple sets on multiple sound stages.

All of the previous space-themed reality shows ran into the classic problems of accessing space: cost and schedule. Even when both are excellent by space standards, they remain prohibitive for the reality show market. Russian Soyuz seats, when available, were never cheap. A seat on a SpaceX Dragon capsule is still going to cost tens of millions of dollars. As Jeff Foust wrote in SpaceNews, the “prize” for “Space Hero” would have cost the program anywhere from $50 to 65 million, and that’s before the production costs were added in. A ticket to space is a lot more expensive than the half-million-dollar prize for the last survivor on an island show. Insurance, assuming a production company could actually get it, would also be expensive.

In “Modern Family” Winter played the overachieving nerd who went to Caltech; in the trailer for “Stars on Mars,” she thinks that Lance Armstrong is an astronaut.

Add to that the problem that the big event cannot be timed to meet a specific evening television time slot. A launch to the International Space Station is dictated by orbital dynamics, not the number of eyeballs staring at TV screens, and Florida’s weather may not cooperate. Even a suborbital launch from New Mexico or Texas could also present problems—it would not fit easily into Eastern or Western US time zones.

So “Stars on Mars” appears to have learned the lesson that Channel 4’s “Space Cadet” taught back in 2005: just fake it.

Stars on Mars
Lance, not Neil. (credit: Fox)

Shatner, who besides being the best starship captain that ever lived, also flew to the edge of space in 2021; he is 92 years old and still the hardest working man in showbiz. The rest of the “stars” are a somewhat odd assortment of people you have probably never heard of. The only ones I recognized were Ronda Rousey, Ariel Winter, and Lance Armstrong. Rousey, a former professional wrestler and actor, was once slated to star in a remake of the 1989 Patrick Swayze movie Road House (where Swayze played “a Ph.D. bouncer” brought in to clean up a rowdy bar, spouting memorable lines like “It’s my way or the highway,” and “Pain don’t hurt”). Rousey can probably lift any of the contestants over her head, even in Earth gravity. Don’t make her mad. Armstrong, of course, is the disgraced former cyclist caught using performance-enhancing drugs after denying it for years. Winter last appeared on the long-standing hit show “Modern Family,” where she played the middle child, Alex. She now sports very long, fiery red hair which would be problematic in a weightless environment, but perfect for the red dunes of Mars. In “Modern Family” she played the overachieving nerd who went to Caltech; in the trailer for “Stars on Mars,” she thinks that Lance Armstrong is an astronaut.

We don’t know yet what prize “Stars on Mars” will award its winner. Maybe it will be a lifetime supply of freeze-dried astronaut ice cream. At least some of the celebrities appear to be having a good time, rappelling down cliffs in spacesuits. In one clip they are shown doing realistic Mars-related activities like using a flamethrower in a cave. Are they supposed to be on Mars, or battling xenomorphs on LV-426? As for the competition, I’ll only be happy if at some point one of them gets a lirpa and the other an ahn-woon and they battle in ritual combat.

Stars on Mars
If we're lucky, maybe the contestants on “Stars on Mars” will engage in ritual combat in the desert. My money’s on Kirk. (credit: Paramount)

The last time there was a TV writers strike it resulted in a wave of awful reality shows, some of which are still with us. Today an ongoing writer’s strike may result in more schlock like “Stars on Mars” in our future. Will this show be terrible? Yes. Will it be cringeworthy? Certainly. Will I still watch it? Probably.

I want to see Captain Kirk fight a Gorn.


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Will China's new Starship clone bury NASA and Artemis?

Saturday, May 27, 2023

SpaceX Starship 6,000 ton Capability, and SpaceX Joins FAA for Legal Bat...

A Gigantic Leap-A Saudi Woman In Space!

 

A Gigantic Leap

SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi biologist Rayyanah Barnawi became the first female Arab astronaut to go into space, a milestone for the desert kingdom where women were only given permission to drive in 2018, the BBC reported.

Barnawi is one of two Saudis on Axiom Space’s second private mission, which took off on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from the United States over the weekend. The complete crew consisted of fellow Saudi mission specialist Ali al-Qarni and two Americans.

Barnawi and her colleagues will spend 10 days in orbit on the International Space Station, where they will conduct more than 20 experiments, including the impact of space on human health, and rain-seeding technology.

The 34-year-old researcher said she will carry out stem cell and breast cancer research during her stay.

She called the experience of becoming the Gulf kingdom’s first female astronaut “a great pleasure and honor that I’m very happy to carry.” She also hopes to inspire other women in the Middle East.

Barnawi and al-Qarni are the first Saudis to ride in a rocket since a Saudi prince traveled on the space shuttle Discovery in 1985, Euronews noted.

Involving a Saudi woman in a space mission is the latest attempt by the oil-rich country to rebrand itself away from its ultraconservative image.


Wednesday, May 24, 2023

Virgin Orbit hacked apart in bankruptcy court! Is this the reward for r...

Book Review-Destination Cosmos

 

Destination Cosmos
“Destination Cosmos” can at times make it looks you’re on, or near, the Sun. (credit: J. Foust)

Review: Destination Cosmos


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Destination Cosmos
at Hall des Lumières, New York
through June 4
$25 per adult

There has been a wave of “immersive” experiences related to space in recent years that have gone on display in museums and other locations. They’ve even showed up on smaller scales. At last September’s International Astronautical Congress in Paris, a portion of the large NASA exhibit was a room where images from the James Webb Space Telescope were projected on the walls: “a moment of zen,” one person staffing the exhibit said. It was indeed a welcome respite from the exhibit hall crowds.

On a far larger scale is “Destination Cosmos,” an exhibit at New York’s Hall des Lumières that runs through June 4. Hall des Lumières is located in a historic bank building in Lower Manhattan with a cavernous, opulent lobby whose walls, floor, and ceiling become the canvas for a light show. In this case, it’s a trip into the solar system and beyond that organizers say features “participation” from NASA along with a partnership with the French space agency CNES.

At times, such as views of the Sun, or from the surface of Mars, does it seem like it truly places you on a planetary surface or near the Sun.

The exhibition, subtitled “The Immersive Space Experience,” starts with images of spaceflight, including the recent Artemis 1 launch. It then goes put into space, looking back at the Earth before hopscotching through the solar system, touring the Sun and Mars and then the outer planets, before concluding with some images of more distant cosmic objects.

The exhibition only sometimes lives up to the immersive experience promised in its title. At times, such as views of the Sun, or from the surface of Mars, does it seem like it truly places you on a planetary surface or near the Sun. Other times the images are simply repeated, trading immersion for a hall of mirrors. The exhibition is on roughly a 45-minute loop, with no narration but instead a soundtrack that ranges from classical to classic rock. It can be relaxing enough at times to offer that moment of zen.

At least until the school groups show up. During a visit late on a Friday morning, several groups of elementary or preschool-aged kids arrived; from their chatter it wasn’t clear if they were wowed by the experience or simply happy to be out of the classroom. Fortunately, there was an escape: a lower level that features the same presentation, but in a smaller space with beanbag chairs. The bank’s vault, also on that lower level, has been converted into an even more intimate space to view the same images.

Destination Cosmos
The Artemis 1 launch gets a brief appearance in “Destination Cosmos”. (credit: J. Foust)

“Destination Cosmos” is only superficially educational: there is a bit of explanatory text in some of the images. But that text lists Voyager 2 of having a mission to explore Uranus and Neptune, ignoring its earlier flybys of Jupiter and Saturn. And it also curiously includes an animation of the New Horizons spacecraft going past not Pluto but instead another dwarf planet, Eris.

One can see the potential of such an exhibition at times, when it truly becomes immersive and offers the feeling of being surrounded by the cosmos. Those moments are fleeting, though, and may not be worth a ticket price that is nearly $30 when including taxes and fees. But given the costs of actually going to space, even for a few minutes on a suborbital flight, maybe it’s not a bad deal after all—provided you avoid the field trips.


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Saving Skylab The Top Secret Way

 

Skylab
The Skylab orbital work shop, photographed by the crew that came to repair it. One of the two main solar panels was completely torn away, and the other was partially deployed, as seen here. A top secret reconnaissance satellite photographed the station shortly before the launch of the rescue mission, confirming the damage. (credit: NASA)

Saving Skylab the top secret way


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On May 14, 1973—50 years ago last week—NASA launched Skylab atop its last Saturn V. During liftoff, the workshop’s meteoroid shield broke loose and ripped off one of its two main solar panels. Problems were immediately apparent to NASA technicians monitoring the launch. Telemetry went bad soon after the ignition of the mighty Saturn’s second stage, and ground-based radars detected multiple pieces of debris coming off the station. Skylab entered orbit and jettisoned its large payload fairing as planned, but it was severely damaged.

Skylab Saturn
Skylab was launched on the last Saturn V vehicle to lift off from Florida. (credit: NASA)

NASA was aware of some of the damage to their expensive space station, although not all of it. Even without cameras aboard Skylab, they had enough data to figure out the broad outlines of the problems. For example, temperature sensors inside of Skylab indicated that it was very hot, a clue that the exterior insulation had been ripped off. The temperature was so high that ground controllers worried that some plastics inside the station might start to melt. The spacecraft still responded to commands from ground controllers to shift orientation and minimize solar heating, but it would have to be repaired before it could enter service—assuming that it could be repaired at all.

With limited data it was difficult for NASA to determine a repair plan. More data is always useful when dealing with unknown situations, and offers of help quickly came from the Department of Defense, which offered a ground-based radar based in the Pacific. But the most unusual assistance came from the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO), which managed and operated the nation’s top secret intelligence collection satellites. On this day, May 22, half a century ago, the NRO was secretly helping NASA to save its crippled space station.

Skylab shroud
Skylab had a special shroud unique to that launch vehicle. The shroud covered the forward section of the workshop, which included the Apollo Telescope Mount and the docking ports. (credit: NASA)

The Department of Defense steps up

The problems with Skylab were public immediately. Very quickly several national security organizations were either consulted or volunteered their assistance to NASA. One of them was the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). On Kwajalein Atoll in the Pacific Ocean DARPA operated a radar designated ALCOR, for ARPA Lincoln C-band Observables Radar. (The “D” had been added to ARPA only a year earlier.) NASA negotiated with DARPA about using the radar to image Skylab. The radar imaging capability was still not operational, but it was brought to bear quickly, collecting data the day after the launch and on two additional passes during the next few days. The radar data was transmitted to Lincoln Laboratory near Boston where it was processed and a final assessment was delivered to NASA around May 23. The radar indicated that one solar panel was missing and the other was partially deployed. It also confirmed that Skylab’s micrometeoroid shield was completely gone.

The concept of imaging one satellite with another dates to the beginning of the Space Age.

The US Air Force operated the Air Force Maui Optical Station (AMOS) on top of the Haleakala volcano on the island of Maui in the Hawaiian island chain. AMOS had multiple telescopes to track space objects, including a 1.6-meter diameter telescope. It is unknown if AMOS was used to image Skylab at that time, although the Air Force later released an AMOS image of the repaired Skylab. In the following years, AMOS would be upgraded with a system to compensate for atmospheric distortion, and then updated multiple times with new and improved telescopes. AMOS is still operational today, with a larger diameter telescope capable of taking impressive photos of objects in Earth orbit.

But there was another imaging capability available for Skylab, a much more secret one.

Skylab AMOS
The Air Force Maui Observing Station (AMOS) had a telescope that was later used to image Skylab. It is unknown if AMOS was used to photograph the workshop soon after launch. A DARPA radar in the Pacific was used to image Skylab and may have provided data before the GAMBIT photograph was available. (credit: USAF)

Sat-Squared

The concept of imaging one satellite with another dates to the beginning of the Space Age. One of the missions the Air Force envisioned for the Dyna-Soar spaceplane in the late 1950s was satellite inspection. Also in the late 1950s, the Air Force started a development program known as SAINT, for SAtellite INTerceptor. Although intended to destroy other satellites, one variant of SAINT would have been equipped with radar and a television camera for photographing satellites. SAINT was canceled in 1962 but was followed by another project in the mid-1960s to evaluate using an Agena spacecraft equipped with radar, other sensors, and cameras for inspecting satellites in orbit. That spacecraft included a variant that used film to take better quality photos, returning the film back to Earth, but the inspection satellite was not approved for development. Later in the 1960s, the Air Force’s Program 437 anti-satellite project included a satellite inspection variant that apparently successfully returned a film image of an Agena spacecraft in orbit. But no illustrations of the hardware have ever been declassified, nor has the inspection photograph.

By the mid-1960s, at least one CORONA reconnaissance satellite had unintentionally imaged another spacecraft in orbit, prompting NRO officials to begin evaluating if there was any intelligence value to this capability. CORONA’s cameras were not powerful enough to provide useful information about other spacecraft, but the GAMBIT-1 high resolution system which entered service in 1963 might have had that potential. However, there is no information indicating if GAMBIT-1 was used for this purpose before it was retired in 1967. Reconnaissance satellite imagery was classified with the code word “RUFF” at the time, and unusual or unexpected intelligence captured in the photographs was designated “RUFF Sensitive,” or “RSEN” for short. Satellite-to-satellite photography was known as “sat-squared” or “S2,” and became one of the RSEN categories.

Skylab already benefitted from a technology that had its origins in the NRO’s world. The station used control moment gyros, which had been developed in the mid-1960s for an NRO satellite program, probably a geosynchronous signals intelligence satellite, although this technology connection was not revealed until 2015. NASA operated in the glare of television lights, and its activities were reported regularly and instantly by the media. In contrast, the National Reconnaissance Office did not even publicly exist. It was “black”—highly classified—and its activities and capabilities were known only to a select few.

Bradburn said he told the head of the National Reconnaissance Office that Skylab was not simply a NASA project, but an American project and it was in the best interests of the nation that Skylab not fail.

Soon after the Skylab problems were known, Major General David Bradburn, who was then the head of the Secretary of the Air Force Special Projects (SAFSP) office, one of the NRO’s component offices and based in Los Angeles, quickly proposed using an NRO satellite to help save Skylab. Bradburn recommended to his superiors that a satellite readying for launch on May 16 at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California be used to take a photograph of Skylab to assist NASA in planning a repair mission. The satellite was known as a GAMBIT-3, and had been designed to take high-resolution photographs of the ground. The window of opportunity was tight: the manned Skylab 2 mission, which had now become a repair mission, was scheduled to launch on May 25, and Bradburn believed the NRO could get a photograph of Skylab to NASA before then. That short turnaround time between the two launches meant that the first phase of the GAMBIT’s photographic mission would have to be cut short to return the photos earlier than originally planned for the mission so they could be used for planning the repair mission.

According to Bradburn, who spoke about the incident during an Air Force history symposium in 1995, he told the head of the National Reconnaissance Office that Skylab was not simply a NASA project, but an American project and it was in the best interests of the nation that Skylab not fail. This justified using an intelligence satellite to help save it, even if that reduced some of the satellite’s intelligence collection. Bradburn’s proposal was approved by his superiors in the NRO, and presumably also by the Director of Central Intelligence and the Secretary of Defense.

Bradburn could propose this mission because for approximately six months a group of junior Air Force officers in his special projects office had been developing computer algorithms for using a GAMBIT-3 to photograph Soviet spacecraft. Their effort had been prompted by Soviet tests of an anti-satellite capability which had become operational in February 1973. The Air Force officers wanted the capability to take a photograph of a Soviet ASAT vehicle if one ever approached an American spacecraft. Because the computer programs were ready, the NRO could respond quickly to the Skylab problem—something that Bradburn was able to tell his superiors, and undoubtedly contributed to them approving the mission.

Skylab shroud
The Skylab shroud undergoing testing in Ohio. It separated as planned during flight, but a shield on the side of the workshop tore loose, causing significant damage. (credit: NASA)

GAMBIT-3 was by then a well-proven spacecraft. The first GAMBIT-3 had launched in 1966 while the less-powerful GAMBIT-1 was still in service. It had a 175-inch (4.4-meter) focal length, and a camera that operated by pulling a large strip of black and white film past a narrow slit. The exposed film was then wound up at the front of the spacecraft inside a “bucket” protected by a heat shield. During a normal mission, when all the film was exposed after several days of operation, the bucket was ejected, fired a small retrorocket, and reentered Earth’s atmosphere. After deploying a parachute, it was captured in mid-air by an Air Force cargo plane hundreds of kilometers from Hawaii. At that point the satellite was junk and was commanded to reenter and burn up in the atmosphere.

By 1969 the NRO had added a second bucket to the spacecraft. This allowed the GAMBIT to take pictures, return them to Earth, and then go into sleep mode for a week or more before waking up to take some more pictures. The primary benefit of this second bucket was to extend the GAMBIT’s lifetime, although it did offer the opportunity to return pictures faster in a crisis situation without ending the entire mission early. It is unknown if the NRO ever de-orbited a bucket with film earlier than planned to take quicker advantage of its intelligence information, but that capability was known within the intelligence community by the early 1970s. GAMBIT had also become more flexible over the years, enabling it to be commanded to photograph targets of opportunity while in orbit.

Bradburn was not supposed to talk about any of this in 1995. He was not overly specific about the details, never mentioning the name of the still-classified GAMBIT program, for example. His remarks in 1995 were not repeated in the official proceedings of the conference. Although the US government has declassified information on satellite inspection programs like SAINT and Program 437AP, it has not officially released information on the use of GAMBIT during the Skylab incident.

GAMBIT launch
Launch of a GAMBIT-3 high-resolution reconnaissance satellite. Only months before the launch of Skylab in May 1973, the National Reconnaissance Office developed the capability to use GAMBIT to photograph other satellites in orbit. A GAMBIT launched on May 16, 1973 was used to photograph Skylab and return its film to Earth in time to inform the repair mission. (credit: Peter Hunter Collection)

Launch of the Black Bird

GAMBIT-3 number 38 launched as planned atop a Titan III-Agena D rocket from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California on May 16, 1973. It quickly reached orbit and began operating its camera, probably taking photographs of targets inside the Soviet Union prior to reaching proper position to take a photo of Skylab.

According to independent satellite observer Ted Molczan, records from that era show that the closest approaches of the GAMBIT-3 and Skylab took place on May 18 and 19. The GAMBIT’s first satellite reentry vehicle de-orbited and was recovered over the ocean on May 21, so May 20 was probably the last possible day to image ground targets. Normally, a GAMBIT-3 would have operated its powerful camera taking photos of targets in the Soviet Union for up to a week or more before returning its first reentry vehicle and then going into a sleep mode for several weeks. With a launch on May 16 and a recovery on the 21st, the first part of this GAMBIT mission was cut short by several days in order to return the Skylab image in time for it to be used for the rescue mission.

The photographs—assuming that the NRO attempted to photograph Skylab on both May 18 and 19—have not been declassified. Although the film returned to Earth on May 21, it would have taken a couple of days to get it to the processing center and develop it, meaning that it was probably available around May 23, around the same time as the final assessment of the ALCOR radar data. This was only a couple of days before the May 25 launch of Skylab 2 carrying astronauts Pete Conrad, Joseph Kerwin, and Paul Weitz. According to one person who saw a black and white image, the Skylab was only a small spot in the frame. It was also slightly blurry but still identifiable, and the photography was apparently still useable for NASA’s rescue mission.

According to one person who saw a black and white image, the Skylab was only a small spot in the frame. It was also slightly blurry but still identifiable, and the photography was apparently still useable for NASA’s rescue mission.

Based upon publicly available data, it is not clear exactly what NASA planners knew about Skylab’s condition and when they knew it. The initial reporting on Skylab indicates that NASA considered the situation dire and doubted that Skylab could be saved. On May 15, the New York Times reported that NASA believed that fixing any of the malfunctioning systems was impossible. Two days later, the Times indicated that the two main solar panels were not deployed and could not be repaired, and NASA believed that the only option was to have Skylab “borrow some electricity from the Apollo.” On May 18, the newspaper stated that NASA delayed the launch of the astronauts because Skylab “was found to be crippled—with its micrometeoroid and thermal shield ripped off and two of its solar arrays undeployed for converting sunlight into electricity.”

Fletcher briefing
NASA Administrator James Fletcher at a briefing shortly before the launch of the repair mission. He is holding a model of the sunshield the astronauts would deploy over the portion of the station that had lost thermal shielding. (credit: NASA)

But by May 22, the Times reported that NASA was “rehearsing techniques for fixing a broken solar panel.” Considering that the newspaper was reporting these facts a day after learning them, it seems that as early as May 18 or 19 NASA officials became aware that one of the solar panels was partially deployed. GAMBIT was still taking its photos and had not yet returned them to Earth. But perhaps preliminary ALCOR data indicated that there was reason to believe a rescue was possible.

Jim Oberg, who used to support NASA space missions, and is an expert on orbital rendezvous, notes that the Skylab rescue mission would have been in advanced planning stage by the time the GAMBIT-3 imagery was returned to Earth on May 21. “There don’t seem to be any indicators that major changes were made to these plans after obtaining the imagery” on May 23, Oberg wrote in an email. “The key feature that such imagery might have been able to contribute deals with the existing Skylab rescue plan.”

The plan was to fly the Apollo Command/Service Module alongside Skylab and have a crewman standing inside the Apollo try to pull the remaining solar panel wing loose with a grappling hook. “The critical missing data was the degree to which other torn off debris might still have been dangling outside, potentially flopping around right in the same volume through which the Apollo and its space suited harpooner would have to operate,” Oberg explained. “Knowing in advance that the space alongside Skylab appeared clear of large objects would have validated existing plans and lessened the need for elaborate contingency plans. In such a situation, from NASA’s point of view, no news—or rather, ‘news of nothing’—was good news.” GAMBIT’s photos could have provided that confidence.

Skylab illustration
Paul Fjeld was a young artist working for NASA during the Skylab mission. He drew artwork depicting the damaged station based upon a contractor's assessment of what happened. Just before the launch of the repair mission on May 25, he learned that NASA had new information about the state of the station. His artwork later appeared on national television. (credit: Paul Fjeld)

The artist

Space artist Paul Fjeld was just starting his career in 1973 when he got an amazing opportunity to work with NASA at Mission Control in Houston to produce official illustrations of Skylab. Fjeld now lives in the suburbs of Washington, DC, and over many decades he produced paintings and other illustrations for contractors, the Canadian Space Agency, and NASA. “After the launch of the lab and we found out it was damaged and overheating,” Fjeld remembers, “I made two paintings for NASA public affairs showing a possible configuration of the Orbital Work Shop with the solar array beams (one partially deployed, the other pinioned to the side), and the micrometeoroid shield ripped away.” He wasn’t directly inside Mission Control, but he was working closely with NASA. “I did them based on some guesses from a Skylab engineer who worked the MacDac desk in the press center,” he recalls, referring to McDonnell Douglas Aircraft, a prime contractor for Skylab. “Over the ten days MSC was preparing the rescue plan and hardware, we'd get pressers. One I remember with Bill Schneider, the program manager, where he was asked about rumors of a spy camera that was imaging the OWS. He denied the rumors.”

“The paintings were displayed in front of the big pre-launch press conference,” Fjeld recalled. “CBS grabbed them, and 25 million people saw my name as Walter Cronkite pointed stuff out over one of them.”

There was intense media scrutiny on NASA at the time as the agency was struggling to demonstrate that it still had the moxie it had demonstrated during the recently-completed Apollo program. “The day before launch of the crew, my paintings were done and PAO wanted to authorize their accuracy, so I brought them into a private room and there was Bill. He liked them and told me what was wrong with them. He said the +Y SAS beam was completely gone and the other one deployed about 30 degrees,” Fjeld recalled. “This pissed me off because I wasted days of ‘analysis’ with the MacDac dude. Also he lied in the presser. But he was happy to have them released as official NASA.”

Despite his annoyance, Fjeld found that he was about to get the exposure every artist dreamt of. “The paintings were displayed in front of the big pre-launch press conference,” Fjeld recalled. “CBS grabbed them, and 25 million people saw my name as Walter Cronkite pointed stuff out over one of them.”

A few days after the May 25 launch, the astronauts freed the stuck solar panel in one of the most daring, and underrated, space missions ever flown. Conrad, Kerwin, and Weitz all went on to complete a successful mission on board the space station.

ISS
Maxar Technologies has the ability to photograph spacecraft using its commercial reconnaissance satellites. The company photographed the ISS in September 2022. (credit: Maxar)

RSEN

Considering that the GAMBIT strip camera had been designed to photograph a ground target, matching the film speed to a moving spacecraft in an entirely different orbit must have been challenging. It certainly involved a lot of math. But the mission contributed to the rescue of a billion-dollar space project—and it also secretly demonstrated that not even Soviet satellites could hide from the prying eyes of American spysats.

After this event, the United States further developed so-called satellite-to-satellite (or “sat-squared”) imaging capability. According to one person familiar with the subject, a later GAMBIT-3 mission took an incredibly detailed photograph of Kosmos 1267, an unmanned spacecraft that rendezvoused and docked with the Salyut-6 space station in spring 1981. The GAMBIT-3 program was declassified in September 2011 and the National Reconnaissance Office released significant amounts of information about its technology and its operations, including several official histories of the program as well as some imagery, degraded to not reveal its impressive capabilities. The official histories had some deletions, however, including a section that most likely referred to the Skylab incident. In 2015, a declassified report about the canceled Manned Orbiting Laboratory included a deleted section that almost certainly discussed the ability of MOL’s powerful DORIAN optical system to image other spacecraft in orbit.

The last GAMBIT-3 was launched in 1984. By late 1976 the NRO began operating a new series of satellites known as the KH-11 KENNEN, which did not require film and could transmit imagery to a ground station. KENNEN provided much greater flexibility, particularly for satellite-to-satellite imaging. Kennen is the Middle English word for “to perceive.”

In April 1981, the space shuttle Columbia roared off its launch pad in Florida into a clear blue sky. One of the revolutionary aspects of the shuttle’s design was its thermal protection system consisting of tens of thousands of ceramic tiles coating the orbiter’s underside. Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo spacecraft had all gone into orbit with their heatshields covered, protected. The orbiter’s heat shield was exposed, and fragile, and that had people worried. In fact, it had NASA officials so worried that they enlisted the help of the National Reconnaissance Office, and its top secret tool, the KENNEN reconnaissance satellite. Not long after Columbia’s launch there were rumors that a KH-11 had been used to image the orbiter. Journalists knew that NASA engineers were concerned about Columbia’s tiles, yet NASA officials declared that they knew the shuttle was safe for reentry.

Skylab is long gone, and increasingly forgotten. But it owed some of its success to a spacecraft that spent all its time in the dark.

The use of the KENNEN to image Columbia and determine that the tiles were intact was eventually confirmed by author Rowland White in the 2018 paperback version of his book Into the Black. White’s book was originally published in the UK in late 2015 and the United States a few months later. The hardcover edition of Into the Black had the overall basics of the imaging effort, although not specific details. Even though White did not extensively document his sources, it was not difficult to read between the lines and determine that for the first edition, White had relied primarily on published—and speculative—sources about the event. White’s account in the hardcover version implied that the imaging effort had largely been ad hoc, perhaps even arranged at the last minute.

White conducted additional research after the publication of the hardcover version, talking to at least one new source with first-hand knowledge. The new account was based upon the memories of one of the people who was directly involved in the imaging effort, NASA engineer Ken Young. Rather than an ad hoc effort like using the GAMBIT during Skylab, the use of the KENNEN to image the shuttle had been planned over a year before the flight. Young had been working on the shuttle program at the Johnson Space Center when he was told that he needed to obtain a top secret compartmented clearance for a new assignment. After getting the clearance, he started regularly meeting with NRO representatives to work on coordinating the shuttle’s low inclination orbit with a KENNEN satellite in polar orbit.

Landsat 8
Maxar has used one of its satellites to photograph another one of its satellites that was damaged by orbital debris, determining that the damage was minimal. Here the company imaged the Landsat-8 satellite in orbit. (credit: Maxar)

According to White, the launch was delayed a short time to improve the imaging opportunity. Also, the KH-11 suffered a problem that threatened its ability to take its picture. The astronauts onboard Columbia also apparently glimpsed the satellite in the distance. White recounted how impressed Young was with the equipment and facilities he saw when he was first brought onto the project. Clearly a lot of money was being spent on satellite intelligence systems.

Today some non-American satellites have demonstrated the ability to photograph or image with radar other satellites, so the technology has clearly proliferated. For example, in 1998, the French Spot-4 satellite photographed the European Space Agency’s ERS-1 satellite.

In recent years, this capability took another major step into the commercial world. In 2016, after Maxar Technologies’ Worldview-2 satellite was damaged by debris, the company used another of its satellites to image Worldview-2 and determined that the damage was minimal. Maxar has also used a satellite to image the International Space Station. Although Maxar has had this capability for the better part of a decade, the company has been judicious in releasing images, only doing so for American satellites. Last month, Maxar released an image of NASA’s Landsat-8 satellite photographed by the company’s Worldview-3 satellite. The ISS and Landsat images were taken in fall 2022. It is unclear how Maxar will offer this capability commercially. For instance, could an American citizen order photographs of Russian and Chinese military spacecraft in orbit?

Satellite inspection and imaging is now becoming more common and more public, even as its origins remain murky. Skylab is long gone, and increasingly forgotten. But it owed some of its success to a spacecraft that spent all its time in the dark.


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